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THE TRIBUNE SPECIALS
50 YEARS OF INDEPENDENCE

TERCENTENARY CELEBRATIONS
B U S I N E S S

ADB pegs India’s GDP growth at 6.1 pc
New Delhi, March 20
Asian Development Bank today forecast a lower 6.1 per cent economic growth for India next fiscal from the estimated 6.9 per cent in 2004-05.

Other Asian countries woo Indian tourists
Chandigarh, March 20
Carl VazBhupesh Kumar Tourists from Punjab and Chandigarh are a priority for Asian countries. Tourism Malaysia will hold a golf tournament for Chandigarh ladies in a couple of months. It also plans to start a flight from Amritsar to facilitate travellers from North India.

Andhra seeks patent for handloom sarees and fabrics
Hyderabad, March 20
Encouraged by the success in securing patent rights for Pochampally handloom design recently, Andhra Pradesh government is set to seek Intellectual Property Rights protection for a whole range of handloom sarees and fabrics.

Top British model Naomi Campbell poses for photographers as she arrives at a news conference in Acapulco, Mexico, on Saturday

Top British model Naomi Campbell poses for photographers as she arrives at a news conference in Acapulco, Mexico, on Saturday. Campbell is in Mexico to participate in Acapulco Fashion 2005. — Reuters

Avoid India for joint ventures, McKinsey warns MNCs
New Delhi, March 20
Even as India is fast becoming a preferred investment destination, a study has warned multinationals against forging joint ventures with Indian partners, saying they are better off going it alone considering the poor track record of JVs in the country.


A model walks down the ramp to promote vegetarianism at an event organised by a fashion designing school in New Delhi on Sunday.
A model walks down the ramp to promote vegetarianism at an event organised by a fashion designing school in New Delhi on Sunday. — PTI 

EARLIER STORIES

  Graphic: Feature film production

An employee of Japanese camera company Olympus displays the new digital camera, i:robe IR-300
An employee of Japanese camera company Olympus displays the new digital camera, i:robe IR-300, equipped with a five mega-pixel CCD on its image sensor and a 6.3 - 18.9mm/F3.3 - 4.0 zoom lens, and a new DVD storage system called S-DVD-100 enabling a user to record digital images on a DVD disk without a PC, at the photo imaging expo in Tokyo on Sunday. The new digital camera and DVD recorder are priced at 40,000 yen ($ 385). — AFP
Market scan

Correction on bourses
almost over

There are indications that the correction in the stock market is almost over. During the first five days of the last week, the market continued to slide and moved down by 300 points on the Sensex but last Friday, the market turned back and after a lot of fluctuations closed at 6,670 points.

Tax advice

Gratuity up to Rs 3.5 lakh not taxable
Q. Whether gratuity paid to an officer retired on 31st December 1996 after serving 23 years and 10 months in a public sector bank is taxable?


Video
Versace plans to open five outlets by 2006.
(28k, 56k)

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ADB pegs India’s GDP growth at 6.1 pc

New Delhi, March 20
Asian Development Bank today forecast a lower 6.1 per cent economic growth for India next fiscal from the estimated 6.9 per cent in 2004-05.

“In 2005-06, GDP growth is likely to decline to 6.1 per cent mainly on account of an expected cyclical decline in the growth of industry and services to 5.2 per cent and 7.3 per cent respectively,” ADB said in its latest Economic Bulletin.

The lower growth projection from ADB is in contrast to Finance Ministry’s expectation of 7 to 8 per cent growth in the coming years.

For 2004-05, the Central Statistical Organisation (CSO) has projected 6.9 per cent growth over 8.5 per cent in 2003-04.

The growth projection is based on the assumption of 4.4 per cent growth in farm sector.

“Despite an expected downturn in industrial business cycle, industry is projected to grow at 6.7 per cent. Services sector growth is projected at 7.7 per cent,” ADB said.

While projecting a lower growth, ADB forecast lower 3 per cent inflation during the next fiscal compared to 4.2 per cent in 2004-05 and 6 per cent in 2003-04.

However, ADB said: “Downside risks that could undermine the growth and inflation projections include a weak monsoon, a sharp increase in oil prices, inadequate fiscal consolidation and hardening of domestic interest rates following tightening of money supply growth.”

“The expected increase in US Fed rate could lead to a decline in capital account surplus,” it said.

ADB also warned that growth in investment especially in infrastructure holds the key to sustaining high growth over the long run.

While investment has grown to 26.5 per cent of GDP till 2003-04 from 26.3 per cent in 2002-03, ADB said “current rate of infrastructure investment is 3.5 per cent of GDP is way below the required rate of 8 per cent estimated by an expert group on commercialisation of infrastructure projects chaired by Rakesh Mohan.”

“The current rates of both private and public infrastructure investments have been well below target. The key problem in attracting adequate private capital in infrastructure is lack of appropriate risk allocation between creditors and investors,” it said.

In this context, ADB said “development of a domestic market for long term securities is therefore critical for infrastructure financing.” The main constraining factor for stepping public investment in infrastructure is the large consolidated fiscal deficit of centre and states, ADB said. — PTI

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Other Asian countries woo Indian tourists
Harvinder Khetal
Tribune News Service

Chandigarh, March 20
Tourists from Punjab and Chandigarh are a priority for Asian countries. Tourism Malaysia will hold a golf tournament for Chandigarh ladies in a couple of months. It also plans to start a flight from Amritsar to facilitate travellers from North India. The Dubai Government, too, wants to target this region in its endeavour to increase tourism manifold within the next 10 years. Singapore Airlines took off a flight from Amritsar in October last.

The upgradation of Amritsar airport to an international one and the low airfares offered by various airlines following the opening of the aviation sector to private carriers has made the Tourism Departments of Malaysia, Dubai and Singapore take notice of the potential of trade from the region. On Friday, Air Sahara announced an introductory offer of Rs 10,000 fare for a round trip to South East Asia.

When a North Indian thinks of travel or tourism, Europe and America figures at the top of his list. “But now they are increasingly being attracted to other destinations for a fun-filled holiday that promises them entertainment, adventure and a slice of cultural heritage at affordable rates,” says Mr Carl Vaz, Country Manager, Dubai Tourism and Commerce Marketing Department.

He said the flow of Indian tourist traffic to Dubai in 2004 was 3.5 lakh, a jump of 8 per cent over the previous year. Of this, the number of Punjabis was nearly 18,000.

In town for the fifth consecutive year at the ongoing Travel Mart, he said the Dubai Shopping Festival was no more the top draw of a traveller.

A traveller now seeks adventure sports, fine dining, heritage and general fun on the beach. World-class golf courses are proving to be magnetic. A major project of the government is the billion-dollar land reclamation in the shape of palm trees, which promised an impetus to the potential tourist.

Dispelling a notion, he informed: “Oil contributes only 8 per cent to Dubai GDP while tourism constitutes 18.2 per cent directly and 29.8 per cent indirectly.”

Similarly, Malaysia, with its 10 per cent Indian ethnic population and now Narain Karthikeyan being the star attraction at the Formula 1 contest, has realised the importance of the volume of tourism that can be generated from India.

Mr Bhupesh Kumar, Manager Marketing, Tourism Malaysia, says they are concentrating on the niche areas like education tourism, golf, festivals and MICE (Marketing, interactions, conferences and events).

“The Indian film industry awards hosted recently were a big success,” he informs. The graph is shooting up, with the outbound Indian tourist traffic to Malaysia increasing from 46,000 in 1999 to 2 lakh in 2004.

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Andhra seeks patent for handloom sarees and fabrics
Ramesh Kandula
Tribune News Service

Hyderabad, March 20
Encouraged by the success in securing patent rights for Pochampally handloom design recently, Andhra Pradesh government is set to seek Intellectual Property Rights (IPR) protection for a whole range of handloom sarees and fabrics.

The government has applied for patent under the Geographical Indication Protection (GIP) category of the IPR for Gadwal silk and cotton saris, Venkatagiri and Narayanpet saris and the Uppada and Jamdhani fabrics, which are among the most sought-after fabrics across the globe.

“We want to repeat the success story of the Pochampally weaver. What we are seeking is patent rights for our unique brand of handloom sarees and dress materials in the name of their geographical location. This is to prevent handloom saris from being copied by powerloom mills and sold at cheaper rates,” the state Rural Development Minister D. Srinivas said. Pochampally has the distinction of being the first traditional Indian craft to receive the status of geographical branding.

Once these sarees are granted patent rights, they cannot be manufactured anywhere else and any violator will face action under patent laws. The patent for Pochampally has come as a respite to weavers who are now in the grip of crisis as their traditional designs are being copied by big power-mills who sell at much cheaper rates.

The grant of patent rights for Pochampally design will alone benefit over one lakh weavers in the backward Telangana region. Pochampally, a small town in Nalgonda district dominated by weavers, is known internationally for its unique tie-and-dye Ikkat design sarees and dress material, often referred as the pride of Indian handloom sarees.

Located close to the capital city, Pochampally is probably one of the most flourishing centres of modern handloom industry in the country, producing ikkat saris on a large scale. Of late, there is a falling demand for this traditional fabric. “Apart from handlooms, we are also making efforts to get patent rights for Kondapalli wooden toys which are admired all over the world for their exquisite craftsmanship,” Mr Srinivas said. Kondapalli, a small village on the outskirts of Vijayawada, is well-known for toys made of soft wood.

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Avoid India for joint ventures, McKinsey warns MNCs

New Delhi, March 20
Even as India is fast becoming a preferred investment destination, a study has warned multinationals against forging joint ventures (JVs) with Indian partners, saying they are better off going it alone considering the poor track record of JVs in the country.

Of the 25 major joint ventures established from 1993 to 2003 in India, only three survive, research firm McKinsey pointed out in the study. Most JVs floundered because the local partner could not invest enough resources to enlarge the business as quickly as the multinational had hoped. As a result, most of the MNCs that initially entered the market through JVs have exited them and pursued independent operations, McKinsey quarterly said in its report on ‘’A Passage to India’’.

MNCs entering new markets have traditionally struck up joint ventures with local partners for a variety of reasons. These include their ability to influence public policy, to bring into the venture existing products as well as marketing and sales capabilities and to comply with regulatory requirements when foreign participation was restricted to less than 50 per cent of a business, it said.

‘’While joint ventures are still crucial to gain access to privileged assets in some industries like metals, mining, oil and gas, our research shows that, where possible, multinationals are better off going it alone,’’ the study added.

Multinationals, such as Hyundai and LG Electronics, that have achieved real success in India have bypassed joint ventures entirely and newcomers are increasingly entering the market on their own, it said. — UNI

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Market scan

by J.C. Anand

Correction on bourses almost over

There are indications that the correction in the stock market is almost over. During the first five days of the last week, the market continued to slide and moved down by 300 points on the Sensex but last Friday, the market turned back and after a lot of fluctuations closed at 6,670 points. There were also some positive factors. The FIIs were net buyers both on Thursday and Friday. The mutual funds resumed buying in some blue-chip equities. Even during the market slump, the PE ratios were reasonable and not very high. According to an analysis made by a business daily, based on the cumulative estimated profits of the Nifty market shares in the financial year 2005, the PE ratios are only 11.8 (of the 50 constituents only seven get evaluation of over 20 times estimated financial year 2006 earnings). Three of these high-growth IT companies are Infosys, TCS, and Wipro. Another three are from the healthcare sector.

The news that the patents (Amendment) Bill has been introduced by the government in the Lok Sabha is encouraging and has in some way contributed to the revival of the stock market. No doubt that the bill has been opposed by the Left and the NDA and the government has stated that they are o pen to any suggestions for change in the Bill but the newspaper reports are that at least seven of the 11 changes proposed by the Left have been agreed to by the government in their information discussions. It appears that the Patent (Amendment) Bill would be passed by the Parliament though with a number of changes in the draft Bill placed before it.

The international crude prices have touched a high of $ 56 a barrel but the news is OPEC will increase the production of crude from April 1. The inflation rate for the week ended March 5 is up by 0,35 per cent to 5.3 per cent Trading during this will give a clear direction whether the market slump is over and the market has moved towards some kind of stability.

Glaxo shares

The Board of Directors has decided to by-back its equity shares from the market at a price not exceeding Rs 800. When the announcement was mad, the scrip was moving around Rs 768, on an Ex-dividend basis in the stock market. Now the market price has slumped to Rs 722. The company has no intention to delist the scrip from the stock exchange which can be done only after the company has clear 90 per cent or more of its total equity capital.

In fact, the company’s subscribed paid-up equity capital is only Rs. 8,732.25 lakh and the company holds only 49.15 per cent of the capital and continues to hold its holdings in the physical form. It has proposed to increase its holdings to 50.83 per cent from the current level of 49.15 per cent. Resident individuals own only 19.64 per cent of the equity capital. The rest are held by the FLLs and NRIS (10.72 per cent) Insurance companies have 13.52 per cent mutual funds 4.15 per cent, and domestic companies 2.52 per cent. The company is a market leader in Pharma in India and its parents is a top pharma company in the world. The Indian company’s “general reserve” stands at Rs 6,943.41 lakh. The carry-forward surplus is Rs 25,875 lakh. The company has excellent fundamental and is a bonus candidate. Its last bonus issue was in 1998 in the ratio of 1:1.

The company has recommended a dividend of Rs. 24 per share of which Rs. 11 is a special additional one time dividend. It is a good by even at the present market rate for there is scope for appreciation in the market price. In the post product patent regime, the company is likely to introduce many new drugs, apart from a wide range of vaccines.

Jaiparkash Hydro

The IPO which opens on March 22 is good but a long-term investment. No dividend is likely at least for 3 to 4 years, but there may be some appreciation from the issue price.

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Tax advice

by S.C. Vasudeva

Gratuity up to Rs 3.5 lakh not taxable

Q. Whether gratuity paid to an officer retired on 31st December 1996 after serving 23 years and 10 months in a public sector bank is taxable? The amount of gratuity is well below the ceiling of Rs 3.5 lakh.

The bank has deducted tax under Section 10(10)(iii). The bank’s data of gratuity is enclosed. Kindly advise?

— H.S. Gujral

A. Section 10(10) of the Income Tax Act 1961 provides exemption limits in respect of gratuity for different categories of employees. These are:

a) Death-cum-retirement gratuity received by an employee under the revised Pension Rules of the Central Government or as the case may be the Central Civil Services (Pension) Rules 1972 or similar scheme applicable to the members of civil services of the Union or holders of the posts connected with defence or of civil posts under Union or to the members of the All-India Civil Services or to the members of the civil services of a state or holders of civil posts under a state or to the employees of a local authority or any payment of retiring gratuity received under the Pension Code or Regulations applicable to members of defence services. The entire amount of gratuity in respect of such employees is exempted from tax under Section 10(10)(i) of the Act.

b) Gratuity received under the Payment of Gratuity Act 1972 to the extent it does not exceed an amount calculated in accordance with the provision of sub-Section (2) and (3) of Section 4 of the Act. Such an amount is also exempt in its entirety under Section 10(10)(ii) of the Act.

c) Gratuity received by an employee or by his widow, children or dependent on his death to the extent it does not exceed one-half months’ salary for each year of completed service calculated on the basis of average salary for 10 months immediately preceding the month in which the retirement takes place subject to a limit of Rs 3.50 lakh. The amount of gratuity is exempted under Section 10(10)(iii) of the Act to the extent of limit stated herein above.

The calculation sheet sent by you does not indicate whether you are covered under (b) or (c) above. You may please get the relevant computations from your office and verify whether the calculations have been done in accordance with item (b) or (c) above so as to arrive at the figure of exempted amount of gratuity.

PPF scheme

Q. I have some queries. Kindly advise.

i) That I have my PPF account in SBI Patiala. It is going to mature in April 2005.

ii) That I will get the whole amount on maturity or can it be extended for 5 years or more.

iii (a) That the 50 pc or 60 pc out of the total amount (till maturity) can be withdrawn and account can be extended for 5 years or more. OR

(b) 50 to 60 per cent amount of the preceding two years is drawn and then it can be extended.

iv) Can this account go as such without extension and will it enjoy interest?

—Rajinder Kumar Gupta

A. The points given by you are as per the provisions of the PPF Scheme. No question has been raised by you in this regard. Presumably you are interested to know whether the amount lying in PPF or withdrawn as per the scheme, would become taxable in future in view of the Finance Minister’s speech given in Parliament at the time of presentation of the budget. The answer is, therefore, based on the said presumption.

The revenue officials during the course of discussions on the Finance Bill 2005, have categorically stated that the taxability of any saving scheme to be covered under the EET (Exempt-Exempt-Taxed) method would have a prospective implication. Accordingly, amount lying in the PPF account withdrawn as per the scheme would not be subject to tax under the present scheme of things.

Section 80-DD

Q . I was having a physically challenged daughter since 1983 but she died in January 2005. I was availing rebate in income tax under Section 80-DD regularly. Now please advise can I avail the full rebate as per the rules under Section 80-DD for the year 2004-05 as she died during January 2005 i.e. before the close of the financial year?

— J. Kumar

A The provision of section 80-DD of the Act (amended w.e.f. 1.4.2004) provide for the deduction of Rs 50,000 (Rs 75,000 in case of severe disability) from the gross total income of an assessee (an individual or HUF) resident of India who during the previous year incurred any expenditure for medical treatment (including nursing) training and rehabilitation of a dependent, being a person with disability. The section, as it stands, does not provide for any proportionate allowance/ disallowance in case of death of such a dependent during the year. The conditions prescribed in the Section as well as in the Income tax Rules 1962 also do not contain any such condition. In my opinion, therefore, you should be entitled to a deduction, provided you fulfil, the conditions as to incurrence of expenditure, submission of necessary certificate along with the return etc., prescribed in Section 80-DD of the Act.

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BRIEFLY

FIIs’ net purchases
Mumbai, March 20
Foreign Institutional Investors (FIIs) recorded net purchases of Rs 2,847.5 crore ($651.8 million) in equities for the trading week ended March 18 while mutual funds (MFs) were net purchasers at Rs 179.56 crore. The foreign funds were net purchasers at Rs 148.4 crore ($ 34 million) in the debt market for the period under review, according to the data available with the Sebi here. — PTI

Amul eyes Pak
New Delhi, March 20
Amul, the most successful cooperative movement in India, is moving across borders to Pakistan and Sri Lanka. The brand owned by Gujarat Cooperative Milk Marketing Federation Limited (GCMMF) is in discussion with Dairy Association of Pakistan to provide technical assistance for establishing a quality dairy infrastructure in that country. It is also close to finalising Rs 10 crore investment deal for setting up a dairy plant in Sri Lanka. — PTI
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