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J-K
flood fury Climate
change or local weather gone crazy? |
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Capital
goes under, normalcy can only be a hope Pushed,
rivers put life off course Choking
wetlands Cut-off
villages can’t be reached
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Climate change or local weather gone crazy?
Independent
agencies often sound a red herring, but when it comes to government agencies, climate change is like a classified issue. There is an urgency to dismiss any correlation between an extreme event and the looming prospect of climate change. However, the J&K catastrophe has prompted officials to concede it calls for an intense investigation. There are two aspects to climate change — atmospheric changes and the following compensation changes, which are observational facts. “(Global) warming is an observed fact. How fast it (climate change) will happen depends on how well we react to it,” says IMD Director-General Lakshman Singh Rathore. About recurring extreme events, particularly in northwest India, Rathore agrees that variability spectrum is growing, giving credence to the belief that warming is impacting weather patterns. “Any particular change cannot be attributed to climate change. Only if there is a systematic pattern, can it be said so,” he adds. Government agencies are already on the job. Sources say increasing intense events in northwest India and neighbouring areas are being researched. Freak weather Apart from the Mumbai floods in 2005, largely it is northwest India which has borne the brunt of “weather variability”. Last year, Uttarakhand faced flood fury while in 2010, Leh cloudburst caused havoc. In 2012, Afghanistan and Pakistan suffered intense rains. Environment NGOs like the Centre for Science and Environment (CSE) give a broader perspective to these events with a reference to Mumbai. Former IMD Director-General Ajit Tyagi views the northwest events in relation to the Western Disturbance (WD), which affects the weather pattern in the region. The J&K floods happened due to an interaction between the monsoon current and two intense WDs, he explains. Western Disturbance
The state has not experienced such a fierce weather episode in the past six decades. The northern most parts of the country receive seasonal rains largely due to the interaction between the monsoon current and the Western Disturbance (WD). The rains in J&K in the June-September monsoon season generally occur due to the juxtaposition between the WD and the monsoon current, says Tyagi. The mid-lateral systems start moving towards northern latitudes in June — the month monsoon hits the Kerala coastline — and southward transition in September when it begins retreating from the region. “Typically, when the monsoon is active in the northwest (July and August), the mid-lateral system activity largely shifts away,” he adds. There is a limited chance of an interaction between WDs and the monsoon current in the months when monsoon is active in the northwest. However in recent years, incidents of strong WD descending to interact with the monsoon current are increasing. “A strong WD interacting with the monsoon current was the reason behind the Uttarakhand floods and the events in 2012 and 2010,” he says. Independent environmentalists are, however, more upfront. CSE director general Sunita Narain terms the J&K disaster a “grim reminder of increasing impact of climate change” and urges the government to “get out of the denial model”. Himanshu Thakkar of South Asia Network on Dams Rivers and People says: “The reason the government doen’t want to do it is because if you recognise climate change is happening, the next step would be to change development plans, which, possibly, it does not want to. It should start incorporating climate change adaptation plans in all developmental policies and programmes,” he adds. Manmade disaster In Uttarakhand, environment abuse was the cause behind the widespread damage and so seems to be the case in J&K. “The scale of disaster in J&K has been exacerbated by unplanned development, especially on the banks,” says Chandra Bhushan, head of the CSE climate change team. “In the last 100 years, more than 50 per cent lakes, ponds and wetlands of Srinagar have been encroached upon for constructing buildings and roads. Banks of the Jhelum have been taken over in a similar manner, vastly reducing the river’s drainage capacity. These areas have suffered the most,” he says. |
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Capital goes under, normalcy can only be a hope
The
images are stark. Distressed souls crying for help from rooftops, boats carrying rescued people to safety, others silently mourning the loss of everything they had accumulated for their children, helpless parents begging for food and water for their children. There were neither doctors nor medicines. On September 6, the Jhelum had started showing its ferocity. The unprecedented rage of the river continued till Sunday evening. Azhar Qadri, The Tribune correspondent in Srinagar, posted on his Facebook page: “This night must end now.” He lives in Bemina, one of the worst-hit localities on the outskirts of Srinagar. Earlier, he had sent an SMS: “Jhelum is flowing madly.” No one has an idea about the losses and damage. Even after the water levels have receded in some parts of the city, the situation is as unclear as the muddy waters that inundated 70 per cent of the city. If Lal Chowk, the commercial hub, is taken as the focal point, the waters have spread to the saffron fields of Pampore in the south and Shalteng in the north, 10-12 km from the city. It has also spread to Bemina bypass and touches Budgam district in central Kashmir, right till Zakoora, 2 km beyond the Hazratbal shrine. The capital city was administered the capital punishment by nature for the lack of coordination between the Union Capital and state Capital because of petty politics that was played out over the years on flood protection works. A file seeking Rs 2,200 crore for flood protection works has been moving back and forth between New Delhi and Srinagar for over three years, each time with fresh queries and replies. Where the file is now, no one knows because the civil secretariat housing the administrative heads and the government is submerged. Before nature announced its verdict, the government was in a deep slumber and woke up only on September 7, the day it discovered it was nowhere. It was lost to the waters and the breakdown of the communication system. Chief Minister Omar Abdullah justified that he had no government for 24-30 hours as there was no connectivity. Everyone was marooned and he compared the floods in Srinagar to disasters in other states like Orissa, Gujarat and Uttarakhand, where the capital cities were not affected by the ravaging floods or earthquakes. “It was an urban flooding that has no precedent,” he argued. In his book “The Valley of Kashmir”, Walter Lawrence says Srinagar city was inundated twice in the 19th century — 1841 and 1893. In 1893, Srinagar turned into a lake and Maharaja Amar Singh provided rescue boats and made people move to safe places. On Sunday (September 7), when it was time for the muezzin to give a call for dawn prayers, the roaring waters of the Jhelum tore apart the embankments and flooded the low-lying areas, taking by surprise a population of nearly 7 lakh, of the more than a million people of the capital city. It was not a matter of hours, rather within minutes, the low-lying localities of Lasjan, Pantha Chowk, Batwara, Badami Bagh Cantonment, Shiv Pora, Indira Nagar, Raj Bagh, Jawhar Nagar, Gogji Bagh, Barzulla, Mehjoor Nagar, Iqbal Park, Rambagh, Peer Bagh, Bemina, Nowgam, Shalteng, Parimpora, Lal Chowk, Press Enclave, Residency Road, Maulna Azad Road and Dal Gate were inundated. These localities are home to most government employees, Kashmiri Pandit families and native Muslims. The Chief Minister claims that announcements were made through mosques and police vehicles about the impending danger of the Jhelum waters flooding homes in Shivpora and Indira Nagar areas. The evacuation process started in the Sonwar area, home to the residences of ministers and bureaucrats. They were taken to safe places. The rest of the Sonwar Colony, on the other side of Sher-e-Kashmir Cricket Stadium, was left to its fate. The Army’s headquarters at Badami Bagh Cantonment in Srinagar was also inundated. Its helipad was under water and its 2,000 personnel were marooned. The control room was under 8 to 10 feet water. The roofs of most buildings were submerged. It will take years before the whole story of the flood-caused devastation in Srinagar would be told in words and pictures. Such is the magnitude of the tragedy that has befallen the state. Nature’s fury and its impact would be felt for decades to come. As of now, the struggle is still on to rescue marooned people. Srinagar would never be the same again.
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Pushed, rivers put life off course
The
four days of rains which lashed J&K from September 3 left unprecedented devastation after the swollen Jhelum in Srinagar and the Tawi, Chenab, Ujj and Suran in the Jammu region breached their banks, destroying thousands of homes. The genesis of the flood can be traced to encroachments over the past three decades. Unplanned urbanisation in Jammu and Srinagar and lack of preparedness to deal with flood-related disaster have emerged as the major reasons behind the floods that ravaged the state, claiming about 400 lives and displacing thousands. An analysis by the Centre for Science and Environment (CSE) has attributed the floods to unexpected weather pattern and unplanned urbanisation, and the failure of the government to check violation of rules has led to the present fiasco that J&K finds itself in now. A free for all along the Tawi The massive destruction of residential structures along the Tawi, Chenab and Ujj in Jammu region has once again brought to focus the illegal construction and encroachment along the river banks by people and the land mafia, particularly over the past two decades, when the city saw itself expand from a mere 32 sq km to 117 sq km (in 2014). Illegal construction on the banks of the Tawi — from Nagrota, Sidhra, Panjthirthi, Circular Road, Gujjar Nagar, Jogi Gate, Bhagwati Nagar and Beli Charana, besides several villages, right till where the river flows into Pakistan — was an
invitation to the catastrophe. The illegal construction took off in a big way, allegedly with the patronage of politicians and the Jammu Municipal Corporation, Jammu Development Authority and Housing Board. The land along a bridge on the Tawi, a portion of which was washed away, had become a haven for unauthorised developers. Houses and shopping complexes had come up on the river bank. Similar was the situation on the banks of the mighty Chenab, which flows through Akhnoor, 25 km from Jammu, before entering Pakistan. Village residents had taken over the flood-prone land for agricultural purposes. In 2011, major rainfall had damaged the Circular Road after landslides damaged it in several stretches. At that time, the administration had announced that it would take preventive steps and come down heavily on unauthorised houses, but nothing concrete was undertaken. Encroachment took place in a planned manner under the very nose of the administration and officials of the Jammu Development Authority (JDA). The JDA is already fighting a losing battle to retrieve its land from encroachers and so far, only 1,721 kanal of land has been recovered. Thousands of kanals are still under illegal possession. In the twin border districts of Rajouri and Poonch, which saw massive destruction of public property along the rivulets and water bodies, the land mafia has encroached upon the banks.
Jammu region Death toll No. of people rescued Relief camps Livestock perished Worst-hit dists Losses in Poonch, Rajouri Houses damaged
Total 20,000 Villages hit
Rajouri 358 Blocked
The 300-km Jammu-Srinagar National Highway Flood protection works
Poonch dist: Works on the Suran rivulet damaged, as also the approach to the main Poonch bridge Major bridges hit
Poonch-Chakan-da-Bagh
Trail of destruction in Srinagar Death toll: over 200
status of Localities
Shiv Pora Population: Over 20,000 Raj Bagh Population: 40,000 Jawahar Nagar Housed: Government employees; private buildings Indira Nagar Population: 5,000 Bemina Housed: Mix of rich and poor; Islamic Centre; automobile showrooms |
Choking wetlands
State
government officials admit that 50 per cent lakes, ponds and the wetlands in Srinagar, the winter capital of J&K, have been converted into residential and commercial places. Encroachment started in the late 1960s, when new colonies were established on fertile agricultural fields and marshes at Shivpora, Indira Nagar, Sanat Nagar, Rawal Pora and several other areas that have now been inundated. Scientists have been warning for long that drainage channels of the city were blocked due to the construction of new colonies and the link between the lakes had been cut off because of unplanned urbanisation. Therefore, the lakes could not absorb water the way they would a century ago, saving the city from floods. “The wetlands and lakes act as sponge during floods, but now residential colonies have been constructed on them. The recent floods have exposed the need for saving wetlands in Kashmir,” says Bushan Parimoo, an environmentalist. Jhelum The banks of the 165-km Jhelum river — also called Vitasta — have also been taken over in a similar manner, vastly reducing the river's drainage capacity, leaving little space for the waters to move. Construction of illegal structures, including houses, continue on the banks of the river near Khanabal bridge in Anantnag, Guru, Bijbehara, Sangam, Halmula, Kakpora, Samboora, Padhgampura and Pantha Chowk and move down towards the Srinagar city till the river merges with the Wular Lake in Bandipora district. Notwithstanding the Water Resources Regulation Act providing executive powers to the authorities to act against offenders, not much has been done to stop illegal construction. The banks have been turned into a junkyard, illegal structures have come up and thousands of trees have been planted even as the Jhelum shrinks. Dal Lake The catchment area of the lake is 314 sq km, of which 148 sq km has been identified as prone to soil erosion. The open area of the lake has been reduced to 12 sq km from 24 sq km and its average depth is down to 3 metres due to the silt. Vegetable growers have encroached into the lake, often planting trees while trying to attract tourists. Multi-storeyed buildings and small crafts factories have been set up on illegal landfills created by the land mafia. Hence, the lake’s ability to naturally drain out the flood waters has greatly suffered. In July 2013, Chief Minister Omar Abdullah had directed the Lakes and Waterways Development Authority — a separate agency working to save the lake — to clear the encroachments, houses and floating gardens. The work is going on in the Ranawari area of the lake. Wular Lake Despite a two-decade conservation project and crores of rupees being pumped to save Wular, Asia’s largest freshwater lake, in Bandipora district, it has shrunk by 87.58 sq km in the last century. The lake (also called Mahapadamsar) finds mention in the ancient Nilamata Purana. From 217.58 sq km in 1911, when the first major survey was conducted by Dogra rulers, the lake area reduced to 130 sq km in 2011-12 during a demarcation by the revenue department. A large part of the catchment area has been converted into farm land. Pollution from fertilisers, animal waste, hunting of migratory birds and weed infestation is killing the lake. As per a survey by the state government, the lake has shrunk mainly due to encroachment, inflow of sewage, silt and poor policies of successive governments, despite the lake being recognised as a wetland of national importance in 1986. The Rs 120-crore project initiated in 2010 to save the lake is progressing slowly. “The lake acts as a huge absorption basin for the annual floodwaters, maintaining a balance in the hydrographic system of the Valley, but now it has become a dumping site for filth,” says Nadeem Qadri, an environmentalist.
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Cut-off villages can’t be reached
While
the battle is on against time to save lakhs of people marooned in Srinagar city, rescue teams have failed to reach several cut-off villages in the 10 districts of the Jammu region even after nine days of the calamity. The ravaged districts include Poonch, Rajouri, Reasi and Udhampur, where landslides have destroyed houses built on hillocks. Though the official death toll is 153 in the region, it could rise when rescuers begin to scan devastated remote hamlets in the mountainous areas. On September 4, the Army launched Operation Megh Rahat, but the
snapping of communication lines hindered the operation. The worst hit was Poonch district, where it will take time to assess the actual damage as all road links have been severed. “We have rescued and shifted 23,000 people to safer places and 83 relief camps have been set up to accommodate them. All relief and rehabilitation measures are being carried out on a war footing to save people from further loss. Vital services like power supply and road connectivity are being restored,” says Shantmanu, Jammu Divisional Commissioner. Major road connectivity in the state has been disrupted as landslides at many places have blocked the 300-km National Highway from Jammu to
Srinagar. Bridges, culverts, and other installations along the highway
have been damaged The Chief Engineer of the Border Road Organisation, Brig Biswajit Bhatacharya, says the highway has been destroyed in the strategic border township of Poonch and Rajouri and losses could cross Rs 1,000 crore. — Sumit Hakhoo
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