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EDITORIALS

Militants’ desperate bid
Attack at hotel calls for strict vigil
T
he militant attack at a Srinagar hotel on Friday, resulting in one casualty, should not cause unease among the people. These militants first targeted an Army convoy unsuccessfully. They resorted to indiscriminate firing at the hotel, but showed desperation in their behaviour.

The state of police
Responsibility mistaken for power
N
o officer would be allowed to take law in his or her own hands, said Punjab Deputy Chief Minister Sukhbir Singh Badal while referring to the state police. Unfortunately, he is dealing with a force that has long been used to being the sole arbiter of law, and old habits die hard.


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THE TRIBUNE SPECIALS
50 YEARS OF INDEPENDENCE

TERCENTENARY CELEBRATIONS



‘Aakash’ for all
Lofty ideas and ground-level reality
O
ur government schools in rural areas could not ensure basic facilities like classrooms, blackboards and chalk for millions of students in the last 65 years. In this context, the announcement by H R D Minister, Kapil Sibal, that budget tablet “Aakash” will be provided to all students within the next five years sounds a bit far-fetched.

ARTICLE

Redefine civil-military relations
Delay may not be in the nation’s interest
by Air Marshal R. S. Bedi (retd)
T
HERE is a growing feeling across the spectrum that the ever-increasing disconnect between the government and the armed forces is hurting the cause of the nation. Lack of harmonious relations and growing mistrust between the civil and military bureaucracies is the root cause for this situation.

MIDDLE

In search of a teacher
by Pupul Dutta Prasad
T
he Gita says that freedom from the bondage of pleasure and pain, success and failure, gain and loss is the highest and purest state of being. The very thought of ‘detachment’ in that sense was enlightening for me as I dipped into the exquisite verses in Sanskrit.

OPED

Tribune Special
INDiA-CHINA WAR 50 years later Part 8
One must always be mindful of the prism through which China interprets the world around it and India’s place in that world. It is only through such a complex and continuing exercise that China’s India challenge can be dealt with
Understanding China’s world view
Shyam Saran
The Chinese will insistently demand and sometimes obtain explicit formulations from a friend and an adversary alike on issues of importance to their interests, but will rarely concede clarity and finality in formulations reflecting the other side’s interests. Thus, there is the recurring demand that India reaffirm, time and again, its recognition of Chinese sovereignty over Tibet.





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Militants’ desperate bid
Attack at hotel calls for strict vigil

The militant attack at a Srinagar hotel on Friday, resulting in one casualty, should not cause unease among the people. These militants first targeted an Army convoy unsuccessfully. They resorted to indiscriminate firing at the hotel, but showed desperation in their behaviour. Reports suggest that they had planned an attack on the highway in the area but could not do so owing to tight security arrangements. The hotel proved to be a soft target, yet they had no courage to continue their destructive activity for a longer time obviously because of the fear of the security forces. Perhaps, they had the realisation that they would be eliminated if they did not run away quickly which they did.

The truth is that militancy in the valley is gasping for breath. Its backbone has almost been broken. It is not without reason that the Jammu and Kashmir government has received as many as 1,082 applications for rehabilitation from militants currently in Pakistan-occupied Kashmir. According to one estimate, there are over 3000 misguided youngsters who had gone from this side of Jammu and Kashmir to the other side for training in militancy. Now they realise that surrendering to the authorities in Srinagar to lead normal life under the state government’s rehabilitation scheme is the best option available to them today.

People in Jammu and Kashmir are sick of militancy and “hartals” called by separatists every now and then. They want revival of economic activity in a big way. That is why militant outfits have got weakened considerably. They must be finding it difficult to get new recruits to their destructive programme. Infiltration bids from across the border are also declining, but such attempts may increase in the winter months. There is need for stricter vigil in the border areas so that anyone trying to cross over to this side illegally is prevented. This is what was underlined by Union Home Minister Sushil Kumar Shinde also when he visited Srinagar a few days back to chair a meeting at Unified Command headquarters. The security forces should never show complacency. 

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The state of police
Responsibility mistaken for power

No officer would be allowed to take law in his or her own hands, said Punjab Deputy Chief Minister Sukhbir Singh Badal while referring to the state police. Unfortunately, he is dealing with a force that has long been used to being the sole arbiter of law, and old habits die hard. On the face of it, the government is determined to make a show of its move to reform the police. Police security given beyond the authorised strength to various ‘VIPs’ in the state was first withdrawn; now, an Inspector-General has been suspended for retaining 31 police and Home Guards personnel with him, virtually as servants. The action is duly severe, and should send out the right signal.

The problem arises when the ‘right signal’ is not sustained or consistent. If security has to be given, it should be under clearly defined parameters, requiring little discretion. In case exceptions need to be made, it should be only by the proper authority, with an explanation in writing. Also, this removal of security should not be on the lines of removal of chairmen of various boards and corporations, which is just to facilitate farming out of the largesse anew in accordance with the fresh political dispensation.

What the government, especially its political leadership, has to realise is the cause why an officer feels — and the system agrees — that there is nothing wrong in his ‘using a few privileges’. It is because of the feudal culture that begins at the top. As long as a person partakes of the privileges in proportion to his position in the ‘hierarchy’, it is considered alright. You step out of line, and you’ll get a rap (why didn’t the IG get it when he had 10 people). From this also arises the practice of people paying bribes to various authorities without complaint as long as they believe it is the ‘due amount’ for the job. It is only when an official goes out of his way to block a legitimate piece of work that someone protests. We have to realise in a democracy all are equal, only the responsibilities differ.

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‘Aakash’ for all 
Lofty ideas and ground-level reality

Our government schools in rural areas could not ensure basic facilities like classrooms, blackboards and chalk for millions of students in the last 65 years. In this context, the announcement by H R D Minister, Kapil Sibal, that budget tablet “Aakash” will be provided to all students within the next five years sounds a bit far-fetched. So far, people have little clue about the kind of software that will be used in the tablet. How will the tablet meet requirements of diverse languages and varying levels of intellectual growth, even for the same age group in different parts of India? Then, is there a well laid-out training programme for teachers in place, if by December 2013 all villages are going to be linked with fibre optics for a broad band connection?

Secondly, we can only speculate about the number of new universities that will be built in India over the next decade, private or otherwise. What we do know, is that India’s 430 institutions of higher learning can’t come anywhere close to keeping up with the demand, as the number of Indians seeking to go on to higher education increases by 12 to 30 per cent each year. To keep up with this sky-rocketing demand, India will need to add between 800 and 1,000 new universities between now and 2022. As the minister suggests, most of these universities will be raised with private participation.

Going by the experience of private universities that mushroomed in India in the last decade, despite being accredited by various government agencies, the experiment did not bear the desired fruit. Many of these universities turned out to be teaching shops where quality became a casualty. Even the move to permit the entry of foreign universities and educational institutions into India has become a contentious issue. The proposed Foreign Educational Institutions (Regulation of Entry and Operations) Bill 2010 needs a fresh look if educational aspirations of 400 million youth have to be met. 

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Thought for the Day

Even if one tree falls down it wouldn't affect the entire forest. — Chen Shui-bian

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Redefine civil-military relations
Delay may not be in the nation’s interest
by Air Marshal R. S. Bedi (retd)

THERE is a growing feeling across the spectrum that the ever-increasing disconnect between the government and the armed forces is hurting the cause of the nation. Lack of harmonious relations and growing mistrust between the civil and military bureaucracies is the root cause for this situation. The sorry state of affairs may prove detrimental to national security. What happened during the last few weeks of former Army Chief Gen V.K. Singh’s tenure is a reflection of this very malaise. The country’s military chief taking his own government to the highest court in the land was a matter of grave concern. It became a national issue, showing both the government and the armed forces in bad light. Its ramifications were obvious.

The roots of this mistrust lie in the past. Nehru’s penchant for keeping the armed forces at the periphery, away from the power centre, sowed the seeds of this problem. This was evident when in the late forties and the early fifties the government introduced some far-reaching structural changes in the armed forces. While initially, the heads of the armed forces were designated as Commanders-in-Chief, they were soon downgraded in 1955 as Chiefs of Staff. This was viewed with a certain degree of trepidation, for it divested them of direct command of their respective forces. Their headquarters had already been reduced earlier to an adjunct of the Ministry of Defence outside the government orbit.

What led the government to undertake such far-reaching changes is not difficult to infer. The political hierarchy was uncomfortable with the hitherto powerful military. Senior bureaucrats too were equally keen to downsize it, having seen it functioning from a position of authority during the British Raj.

But for Lord Mountbatten’s timely intervention, the Chiefs almost got placed directly under the Defence Secretary. On representation from the British Chiefs of the Indian Army, Navy and Air Force that they were being accorded a lower protocol than the Defence Secretary, the Viceroy advised Nehru against this. Total absence of military officials and experts in the Ministry of Defence was another issue and a unique arrangement that was also considered professionally unsound by the Viceroy. But Nehru did not pay heed to his advice on this issue. Obviously, he had something else in his mind.

He did not want the armed forces to be associated with any mainstream national decision-making body. Nehru’s repeated assertions that the armed forces in a democracy must function under civilian control reflected his mindset. While this is undoubtedly true, it must not be misconstrued as bureaucratic control, as it has turned out to be in our context. The armed forces in India have been marginalised to a subservient status. It is this unusual nature of civil-military relations that leads to friction and disputes between the two all the time.

In fact, Lord Ismay’s higher defence management was based on the concept of committees at different levels where exchange of views between the political authorities, the civil bureaucracy and the military could take place before arriving at any decision. Unfortunately, it did not take long for the political leadership in this country to ignore this and instead resort to adhocism which only led to further isolation of the armed forces from the decision-making process.

The consequent lack of communication and increasing trust deficit made the relationship all the more tense. When the then Army Chief, Gen Thimayya (1957-1961) tried to move an armoured brigade into Delhi, it alarmed the Nehru government. This was despite the fact that there had never been an occasion in the past that should have aroused the government’s suspicion about the armed forces’ allegiance and commitment to the Constitution. This might have had something to do with military takeovers across the border and elsewhere in the fledgling democracies.

The military in India had never harboured any aspiration of acquiring political power and yet it continued to remain suspect. In 1964, at Nehru’s death, then Army Chief Gen J. N. Choudhrie moved some troops into Delhi purportedly for controlling crowds at the funeral that raised fears among the government circles that the Army was planning to take over the reins of power. Not quite convinced of the Chief’s assertion, the government went to the extent of tapping his telephone.

The mistrust thus created has continued to mar the mutual relations. Recent commotion in government circles consequent upon the movement of a couple of regiments into Delhi on the day Gen V. K. Singh decided to go to the court at the height of his tussle with the government is a reflection of this very mistrust. Vested interests took no time even to insinuate ulterior motives to the Chief. Civil-military relations had hit rock-bottom.

As of now, there is disproportionate distribution of authority and responsibility. One wields authority without responsibility and the other holds responsibility without authority. The armed forces have to struggle to convince the uninitiated bureaucracy of the legitimacy of everything that they need, whether it is an operational necessity or an administrative requirement, for they control the defence forces’ budget. Except for some minor dispensation here and there, even the revenue expenditure is largely controlled by the civilian bureaucracy.

To keep the armed forces at the cutting edge of technology in an environment of competitive armament has become a herculean task. They have sadly lost their institutional autonomy due to progressive encroachment of their domain by the bureaucracy. US defence analyst Stephen P. Cohen of Brookings Institution writes in his famous book on India, “Arming without Aiming”, about this unique position of Indian armed forces wherein, unlike anywhere else, they are neither a part of the government nor do they control their own money.

Civilian bureaucrats are drawn from diverse backgrounds with little or no knowledge of matters military. They show lack of understanding and grasp. They tend to be high-handed instead of engaging in meaningful dialogue. They are unable to take expeditious decisions even in cases of urgent matters. There are innumerable such examples that only add to the heartburn. The armed forces have not only been subordinated but rendered helpless too. They stand denuded of their stature and eminence, hitherto associated with the elegance and glamour of the uniform.

This is the nature of treatment meted out to the armed forces that have stood by the governments of all hues without any discernable leaning towards anyone or any ideology. Their loyalty and integrity have been beyond reproach. They have kept this diverse nation intact and secured it from internal as well as external threats. Whether it is the glaciated heights of Siachen, the scorching desert of Thar, the hard-to-penetrate thick jungles of the Northeast or the remote outposts of the snow-bound Himalayas in the North, the men in uniform are there forever, ensuring the sovereignty and safety of the nation. They ask no questions; they just move on with their assigned task. What should have been a symbol of national pride and reverence is not idolised or cherished.

It is hard to comprehend the government’s continued proclivity towards the mistrust of the armed forces despite there being not even the slightest proof of disloyalty. The decades-old paranoia of the armed forces is preventing harmonious relationship for optimal performance. The cavalier manner in which the armed forces are being treated at present is not in the long-term interest of the country’s security. Any further neglect of the armed forces leading to injustice will only help accentuate their alienation.

The lackadaisical attitude of the political leadership towards the armed forces has only reinforced the perception that either it does not care or it trusts its all-pervasive bureaucracy so much that it fails to see its machinations. Pay, pensions, modernisation, weapon acquisition and manpower augmentation all face impediments at the altar of the bureaucracy. The frustration and helplessness that the armed forces feel in everyday life are demeaning, to say the least. Time has come for the government to redefine the civil-military relations on an equitable basis.

The writer is a former Director- General, Defence Planning Staff.

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In search of a teacher
by Pupul Dutta Prasad

The Gita says that freedom from the bondage of pleasure and pain, success and failure, gain and loss is the highest and purest state of being. The very thought of ‘detachment’ in that sense was enlightening for me as I dipped into the exquisite verses in Sanskrit.

However, there was something tugging at my heart. Soon my thoughts had converged on my Sanskrit teacher in school almost two decades ago. It was because of him that today I could manage to understand a bit of Sanskrit, and attempt to imbibe the best of India’s religious philosophy in my life. It was he who introduced me to the felicity of the language, the perfection of its grammar, the profundity of its wisdom, and the antiquity of its knowledge. But what made me feel very bad was that I had not seen or enquired about my teacher ever since leaving that school.

Feeling distraught, I decided to find my teacher. With no acquaintance in the town where he could still be teaching, the prospects did not look bright. Then I turned to seek the help of my professional fraternity, the police. That proved productive in the end, but not without creating some angst.

I worked the phone and spoke to the superintendent of police of the district where the school was located. He took down all the details I could give him about my teacher. The officer understood my feelings and promised to try his best and get back to me. He did get back to me after a few days, but with the news that there was no such teacher in the whole town.

I had almost given up on the pursuit. Unbeknown to me, the superintendent managed to collect some information about the teacher’s whereabouts from local sources. Apparently, my teacher had been transferred to a neighbouring district. He was still teaching though. The officer contacted his counterpart in the other district. With only a few Sanskrit teachers in every town, the police did not take much time in tracking him down. Then, one fine day, when my teacher returned home from his school, he saw a bevy of police officials waiting for him. He thought he was in for trouble. He heaved a sigh of relief when he was told what the matter was.

I received a phone call from my teacher immediately thereafter. When he recounted the story, I expressed my profuse apologies for causing unnecessary consternation to him. He waived it off and told me how happy he was to be reconnected with me.

As I cherished the moment, it also gave me an opportunity to ponder over what detachment and renunciation are all about. They are certainly not about being cold or indifferent to the result. If anything, such an attitude would imply non-seriousness in action which would be contrary to the teaching of the Gita. Knowledge of the result is extremely important. In my case, the result had been positive thanks to an officer who went out of his way to help me.

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Tribune Special
INDiA-CHINA WAR 50 years later Part 8
One must always be mindful of the prism through which China interprets the world around it and India’s place in that world. It is only through such a complex and continuing exercise that China’s India challenge can be dealt with
Understanding China’s world view
Shyam Saran

Delegates at the annual Chinese People’s Political Consultative Conference at the Great Hall of the People in Beijing.
Delegates at the annual Chinese People’s Political Consultative Conference at the Great Hall of the People in Beijing.

The Chinese will insistently demand and sometimes obtain explicit formulations from a friend and an adversary alike on issues of importance to their interests, but will rarely concede clarity and finality in formulations reflecting the other side’s interests. Thus, there is the recurring demand that India reaffirm, time and again, its recognition of Chinese sovereignty over Tibet. In 2003, during Prime Minister Vajpayee’s visit, China conceded Sikkim as a part of India but this was not explicitly recorded in a written formulation. In 2005, during Wen Jiabao’s visit to India, China went a step further and handed over maps of China, showing Sikkim as part of India. Recently, some Chinese scholars have pointed out that the absence of an official statement recognising Indian sovereignty leaves the door open to subsequent shifts if necessary.

China is the one power which impinges most directly on India’s geopolitical space. As the two countries expand their respective economic and military capabilities and their power radiates outwards from their frontiers, they will inevitably intrude into each other’s zone of interest, what has been called “over-lapping peripheries”

I recall seeing the record of conversation between R.K. Nehru and Chinese Premier Zhou Enlai in 1962, some months before the border war erupted in October that year. R.K. Nehru drew attention to reports that China was leaning towards the Pakistani position that Jammu and Kashmir was a disputed territory. He recalled to Zhou an earlier conversation, where when asked whether China accepted Indian sovereignty over J&K, he had said, rhetorically: "Has China ever said that it does not accept Indian sovereignty over J&K?" or words to that effect. At this latest encounter, Zhou turned the same formulation on its head, to ask, "Has China ever said that India has sovereignty over J&K?"

Much of the misunderstanding and lack of communication that has characterised India-China relations may be sourced to the failure on India’s part to be conversant with Chinese thought processes. It is easy to accuse the Chinese of betrayal, as Nehru did after the 1962 war, but a clear awareness that deception is, after all, an integral element of Chinese strategic culture, may have spared us much angst in the past. Such awareness should certainly be part of our confronting the China challenge in the future.

Chinese Premier Wen Jiabao with Dr Manmohan Singh: China is respectful of India’s role in multilateral fora, where on several global issues Indian interests converge with China.
Chinese Premier Wen Jiabao with Dr Manmohan Singh: China is respectful of India’s role in multilateral fora, where on several global issues Indian interests converge with China.

Chinese ‘contextualise’

Another important feature of Chinese thinking is what I would call, "Contextualising". Significant decisions and actions must always be located in a broad assessment of political, economic, social and even psychological factors that constitute the stage setting for the proposed activity. This lends an inherent prudence to Chinese strategic thinking, but once events have brewed to the right mix and the timing is right, action must be swift and decisive. The Chinese strategist may wish to avoid war, if such a war carries inordinate risk. However, the use of force is an essential and accepted part of pursuing national interests and war is not necessarily an unmitigated evil. The Indian attitude towards the use of force and the dangers of war is more ambiguous. The use of force is often seen as a failure of diplomacy, not an extension of it. And this is an important difference between the two countries. The conversations between Nehru and Mao in 1956 on the nature of war reflect this clearly.

Let me try and illustrate this by examining some of the events leading up to the 1962 border war. In January 2005, Chinese TV broadcast a documentary entitled "The Secret History of the China-India War". This documentary is important for two reasons. It painstakingly spells out the domestic, regional and international context within which the decision to launch the attack against Indian border forces was taken. It refers to the hesitation within certain sections of the party leadership to "make an enemy out of India", at a time when China was still recovering from the ravages of famine and the disastrous consequences of the 1958-61 Great Leap Forward. The international situation was also not judged to be favourable. The ideological conflict with the Soviet Union, the commentary says, had now become a state-to-state conflict as well. The United States continued with its hostile policies towards China and the Chiang regime in Taiwan was becoming more aggressive. This is an example of the "contextualizing" approach. This probably corresponded to the assessment of Chinese posture on the Indian side; briefly, that while border skirmishes would continue, China was unlikely to engage in a full-scale war.

However, from the summer of 1962, the "context" had begun to change and the clues to this change were missed by the Indian side. After having retreated to the "second line of leadership" in the wake of the failure of the Great Leap Forward, Mao plotted his return to absolute leadership, using the PLA with the new Defence Minister Lin Piao, who had replaced Marshal Peng Tehuai, as an ally. The TV documentary points to differences of opinion within the Party leadership on the border issue. This, it said, was settled by the denunciation of those who counselled restraint, as "right opportunists". While having temporarily ceded the administration of the Party and the Government to other veteran leaders like Liu Shaoqi and Peng Zhen, Mao appears to have taken charge of issuing directives to the PLA personally, on handling border tensions with India. It was he who decided in August, 1962, to engage in a full-scale military assault on Indian forces, and to "liquidate the invading Indian army". But this was done only after his commanders had reported that the Indian side simply had neither the numbers nor the equipment to withstand a Chinese attack, particularly if the attack was of an unexpected scale.

On the international front, too, there was a window of opportunity, mitigating some of the constraints. In June, 1962, Chinese Ambassador Wang Bingnan had enquired from his U.S. counterpart in Warsaw whether the U.S. would take advantage of India-China border tensions, to encourage a Taiwanese attack on the mainland. He obtained a categorical assurance, which he claims in his memoirs, played a big role in the decision to go to war with India. Thanks to the impending Cuban missile crisis, the then Soviet Union sought Chinese support by conveying its intention to side with China in the border conflict with India. China may not have known about the looming US-Soviet crisis, but it certainly profited from the Soviet change of heart, temporary though this proved to be. Perhaps it is too much to expect that Indian decision-makers would have connected these dots together, but that is precisely what is necessary in dealing with China.

The other example of the importance of contextualising may be seen through a contrary example. In 1971, during the Bangladesh war, the US and China were allies supporting Pakistan. Kissinger tried to persuade the Chinese to attack India along the Sino-Indian border as a means of relieving pressure on their common ally, Pakistan. In the papers of Alexander Haig, who was the White House Chief of Staff at the time, it is reported that he did receive a formal reply from the Chinese side, conveying that China had decided not to move troops to the Sino-Indian border. One can confidently surmise that the constraining ‘context’ in this regard was the Indo-Soviet treaty of 1971.

The Wangdung incident

Lest any one believes that Chinese strategists always get things right, I would like to recall what happened in 1986 during the Wangdung Incident in the Eastern sector. In 1985, China began to signal that the so-called "package proposal" for resolving the border issue, essentially legitimising the post-1962 status quo, was no longer on offer. In official talks, Chinese officials stated explicitly for the first time that since the disputed area in the Eastern sector was much larger than in the Western sector, India would have to make significant concessions in that sector and China would reciprocate with appropriate concessions (unspecified) in the West. It was also conveyed to us that at a minimum, Tawang would have to be transferred to the Chinese side. When we pointed out that just three years back in 1982 Deng Xiaoping had himself spelt out the package proposal as we had hitherto understood it, the response was that we may have read too much into his words.

The shift could have been related to a greater level of confidence following China’s rapid growth and the fact that a young and as yet untested Prime Minister had taken office in Delhi. This was followed by the discovery in the summer of 1986 that the Chinese had crossed the Thagla Ridge and occupied a feature called Le, built permanent barracks as well as a helipad. This was in some way linked to the hardening of the Chinese position on the border and the new insistence on India making concessions in the Eastern sector.

An undiplomatic offensive

I recall accompanying Ambassador K.P.S. Menon to lodge a protest with the then Chinese Assistant Foreign Minister and being witness to a most undiplomatic offensive and vituperative harangue by the latter. He claimed that China was, of course, on its own territory, that it was only "strengthening border management" after the neglect of recent years and that India would be prudent not to over-react. Soon thereafter I was transferred from Beijing to Tokyo, but en route in Delhi I attended a strategy session called to discuss our counter moves. There was, I admit, a reluctance to take any military counter measures. However a couple of weeks later I learnt that the then Army Chief, Sundarji, had airlifted troops and occupied the parallel ridge, known by the peaks Lurongla, Hathungla and Sulunga , overlooking the Sumdorung river. Two forward posts, Jaya and Negi, were set up across the river just below the ridge and only 10 metres from a Chinese forward post. The Chinese were taken completely by surprise as perhaps were our own political leaders. The then External Affairs Minister, N.D. Tiwari, was transiting Beijing on his way back from Pyong Yang after attending the Non-Aligned Coordination Bureau meeting that September, to try and assuage Chinese anger. I was accompanying him en route to Tokyo having been deputed to Pyong Yang to assist our delegation. Senior Chinese Foreign Ministry officials were at hand at the airport to receive our delegation. In the brief exchange that took place at the airport, our Minister’s protestations of peace and goodwill were met with the not unreasonable comment that while our leaders were talking peace they were making aggressive military moves on the ground at the same time. China would only be satisfied if Indian troops vacated the ridge they had occupied. China would not be fooled; it would "listen to what is said, but see what action is taken."In later talks we agreed to vacate the heights on our side if the Chinese retreated behind the Thagla ridge, but since they were not ready to do so, we stayed put as well.

While we may not have planned it this way, the Chinese judged our actions through their own prism: that we had countered their unexpected move by a well orchestrated counter move of our own. Subsequently, I am told, that the offensive and overbearing tone adopted by Chinese Foreign Ministry officials also changed to being more polite and civilized The next several years were spent in the two sides discussing disengagement in this sector and finally in 1992, the eyeball-to-eyeball confrontation was ended and a number of confidence-building measures adopted. The lesson to be drawn is not that we should be militarily provocative but that we should have enough capabilities deployed to convince the other side that aggressive moves would invite counter moves. This is the reason why it is so important for us to speed up the upgradation of our border infrastructure and communication links along all our borders, not just with China.

Chinese perceptions

Currently, there are two strands in Chinese perceptions about India. There are strong, lingering attitudes that dismiss India’s claim as a credible power and regard its great power aspirations as "arrogance" and as being an unrealistic pretension. The other strand, also visible in scholarly writings and in the series of leadership summits that have taken place at regular intervals, is recognition that India’s economic, military and scientific and technological capabilities are on the rise, even if they do not match China. India is valued as an attractive market for Chinese products at a time when traditional markets in the West are flat. China is also respectful of India’s role in multilateral fora, where on several global issues Indian interests converge with China.

I have personal experience of working closely and most productively with Chinese colleagues in the UN Climate Change negotiations and our trade negotiators have found the Chinese valuable allies in WTO negotiations. In such settings the Chinese comfortably defer to the Indian leadership. I have also found that on issues of contention, there is reluctance to confront India directly, the effort usually being to encourage other countries to play a proxy role in frustrating Indian diplomacy. This was clearly visible during the Nuclear Suppliers Group meeting in Vienna in 2008, when China did not wish to be the only country to oppose the waiver for India in nuclear trade, as it could have since the Group functions by consensus.

China may have refused to engage India in any dialogue on nuclear or missile issues, but that does not mean that Indian capabilities in this regard go unnoticed or their implications for Chinese security are ignored. It is in the maritime sphere that China considers Indian capabilities to possess the most credibility and as affecting Chinese security interests. These two strands reflect an ambivalence about India’s emergence — dismissive on the one hand, and a wary, watchful and occasionally respectful posture on the other. Needless to say, it is what trajectory India itself traverses in its economic and social development that will mostly influence Chinese perception about the country.

Impact of Indo-US ties

Additionally, how India manages its relations with other major powers, in particular, the United States, would also be a factor. My own experience has been that the closer India-US relations are seen to be, the more amenable China has proved to be. I do not accept the argument that a closer India-US relationship leads China to adopt a more negative and aggressive posture towards India. The same is true of India’s relations with countries like Japan, Indonesia and Australia, who have convergent concerns about Chinese dominance of the East Asian theatre. I also believe that it is a question of time before similar concerns surface in Russia as well. India should be mindful of this in maintaining and consolidating its already friendly, but sometimes, sketchy relations with Russia. The stronger India’s links are with these major powers, the more room India would have in its relations with China.

It would be apparent from my presentation that India and China harbour essentially adversarial perceptions of each other. This is determined by geography as well as by the growth trajectories of the two countries. China is the one power which impinges most directly on India’s geopolitical space. As the two countries expand their respective economic and military capabilities and their power radiates outwards from their frontiers, they will inevitably intrude into each other’s zone of interest, what has been called "over-lapping peripheries". It is not necessary that this adversarial relationship will inevitably generate tensions or, worse, another military conflict, but in order to avoid that India needs to fashion a strategy which is based on a constant familiarity with Chinese strategic calculus , the changes in this calculus as the regional and global landscape changes and which is, above all, informed by a deep understanding of Chinese culture, the psyche of its people and how these, too, are undergoing change in the process of modernisation. Equally we should endeavour to shape Chinese perceptions through building on the positives and strengthening collaboration on convergent interests, which are not insignificant. One must always be mindful of the prism through which China interprets the world around it and India’s place in that world. It is only through such a complex and continuing exercise that China’s India challenge can be dealt with.

The writer is a former Foreign
Secretary. The article has been
excerpted from the second annual
"K. Subrahmanyam Memorial
Lecture" he delivered in Delhi
on August 29, 2012.

For full text see www.ris.org.in

Tomorrow: Settling the border dispute
For earlier parts of the series on the 50th anniversary of the Sino-Indian war log on to www.tribuneindia.com


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