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Falling gold, oil prices seen to help RBI cut rates aggressively
Nifty at one-month high, Sensex ends above 19,000
Exports dip 1.8% in FY13
Gold may dip further before prices stabilise
CCI clears Dell buyout plan
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Garments set to get dearer due to sharp rise in cotton yarn prices
Honda Motorcycle plans 4th India plant
Haryana gets Rs 1,500 cr CST compensation
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Falling gold, oil prices seen to help RBI cut rates aggressively
Mumbai/New Delhi, April 18 According to a RBS report, "the impact on India's current account deficit should be significant, cumulatively amounting to 1.9% of GDP" provided for the full year FY14 prices for both oil and gold remain at current levels and aggregate volume gold demand remains stable. "Prima facie, the reduction in the current account deficit should provide the RBI with greater headroom for policy easing," the report said. According to a Bank of America Merrill Lynch report, the downtrend in commodities is clearly good for the economy and eases the tail risks on the twin deficit to some extent. A falling commodity price environment could trigger much faster RBI rate cuts than consensus, the report said. In the last few days gold fell to Rs 26,350 per ten grams, its lowest level since August 17, 2011. Crude oil prices also tumbled in Asia with Brent falling below US $100 a barrel. "We have increased our expectation of a RBI rate cut this fiscal to 100 bps vs our earlier expectation of a 75 bps cuts following the decline in commodity prices globally," Bank of America Merrill Lynch report said. The RBI, in its midquarter monetary policy review on March 18, reduced the repo rate by 25 basis points from 7.75% to 7.50%. Repo rate is the rate at which banks borrow short-term funds from the central bank, while CRR is the portion of deposits that banks have to keep with it. The RBI lowered key policy rates to help revive growth. India's GDP growth in the third quarter of 2012-13 fiscal, ended March 31, was 4.5 per cent — the weakest in 15 quarters. Indian gold futures edged down, hovering near their lowest level in more than 18 months, weighed by a stronger rupee, giving an opportunity for physical traders to import in the middle of the wedding season. — PTI/Reuters Tariff value of gold, silver cut further
The government today further slashed the tariff value of gold and silver to $449 per ten grams and $762 per kg, respectively, in view of falling global prices of the precious metals. Tariff value is the base price on which the customs duty is determined to prevent underinvoicing. It was only two days back that the tariff value was brought down to $499 per ten grams and silver at $890 per kg. The notification in this regard was issued by the Central Board of Excise & Customs, an official release said. The government has reduced the import tariff value of precious metals following high price volatility in gold and silver in the global market. Gold prices are ruling down at $1,337.86 per ounce in Singapore. In New Delhi, gold rates have fallen sharply in the last few trading sessions and are currently ruling down at Rs 26,600 per 10 grams. Decline in bullion prices has boosted domestic demand in India, the world's largest gold consuming nation. |
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Nifty at one-month high, Sensex ends above 19,000
Mumbai, April 18 The Bombay Stock Exchange benchmark index ended above the 19,000 level for the first time since April 2, while the benchmark 10-year bond yields fell to their lowest since July 28, 2010. Gains also tracked a rebound in European shares as this week's brutal selloff, provoked by concerns about global economic growth, lured back some investors looking for bargains. — Reuters |
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Exports dip 1.8% in FY13
New Delhi, April 18 The current account deficit has emerged as a big weak spot in Asia's third largest economy since last year. It is expected to have hit about 5 percent of GDP in the fiscal year that ended in March, but a fall in gold and oil prices along with the uptick in exports since January should take some of the pressure off. Exports rose 6.97% year-on-year in March to $30.84 billion, while imports fell 2.87% to $41.16 billion, driven by lower spending on oil purchases that month, the ministry said. That reduced the trade deficit in the month to $10.32 billion. The UPA government has been worried about the impact of falling exports on the overall economy, which likely registered its weakest growth in a decade in the last fiscal year. The trade gap has put pressure on the rupee, feeding inflation. Exports for the full fiscal year (2012-13) were US $300 billion, well below a $350 billion target but higher than expected. — Reuters Re strengthens on trade data, share rise The rupee strengthened on Thursday with the underlying sentiment remaining bullish on the back of growing rate cut hopes from the RBI's upcoming annual monetary policy on May 3. Sharp gains in the domestic share market following the better-than-expected trade data also aided sentiment. The partially convertible rupee closed at 53.96/97 per dollar, stronger than its close of 54.21/22 on Wednesday. The pair moved in a range of 53.9550 to 54.24 during the session. |
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Gold may dip further before prices stabilise
New Delhi, April 18 BofA-ML's target is largely driven by two variables: it sees jewellery demand increasing at levels of $1,500/oz and it expects margin pressure on the gold mining industry to increase substantially at $1,250/oz. The investment bank said that is worth noting that most of the immediate gold price drivers prevalent in the past few years — like the massive credit growth in developed countries — have been fading. "Indeed, central banks have been easing, but much of the additional funding has been parked in excess reserves. This has contributed to making gold a somewhat less viable investment proposition," the bank added. Given that inflationary pressures remain muted due to large output gaps in advanced nations and expectations that rising nominal rates across various maturities on the US yield curve will raise opportunity costs to hold gold, the bank sees no compelling reason to increase exposure to gold right now. According to BofA-ML, Cyprus' announcement to sell gold reserves was a key trigger behind the recent meltdown, as it raised concerns that other peripheral nations may follow suit. However, additional gold selling in the European periphery is highly unlikely, the bank said. "We find it hard to fully justify the sell-off. Having said that, for a firm near-term recovery in gold prices we would need to see a pick up in inflation, ECB easing, and EM reserve buying. None of these events are likely until H2 of FY13," it added. — Agencies |
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New Delhi, April 18 The CCI clearance, however, comes at a time when the proposed US $24.4 billion buyout of Dell by its founder is facing rival takeover bids for the company from its largest shareholder Carl Icahn and private equity major Blackstone. The company said last month that it has got competing offers from billionaire investor Carl Icahn and Blackstone, which could be superior to a proposed joint buyout offer from Michael Dell and private equity firm Silver Lake Group. The proposal involves Michael Dell and Silver Lake acquiring full control of the company through certain entities and finally converting it into a privately held firm. Any major merger and acquisition deal involving businesses in India requires a clearance from CCI. — PTI |
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Garments set to get dearer due to sharp rise in cotton yarn prices
Ludhiana, April 18 Cotton yarn rates have increased by Rs 35 per kilogram in just one month up to March 24, 2013. And, on April 1, 2013, a rise of Rs 15 per kilogram was effected by yarn producers, leading to an artificial shortage. “The marked increase in raw material prices will definitely have an impact on the finished product. We have been left with no other option but to raise the prices of garments. After excise duty on yarns was waived we have not been able to pass on the benefit to customers as yarn prices have shot up,” said Vinod Thapar, chairman of the Knitwear Club. “Whenever the demand in importing countries rises, apart from soaring cotton prices in the domestic market, Indian cotton yarn prices are usually hiked abnormally. And on these occasions, there is no parity existing between cotton and cotton yarn prices, which adversely affects the value added segments, including garment manufacturers, who are finding it difficult to cope with this crisis and finalize export orders,” said Vinay Kansal, a garment exporter. Not only have yarn prices risen sharply but the power tariff has also been hiked ,which will ultimately result in high garment prices. “We are left with no other option but to pass on the burden of higher input costs to the consumers. People have to shell out more for buying clothes,” said Dharamveer, a local garment manufacturer. |
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Honda Motorcycle plans 4th India plant
New Delhi, April 18 Having overtaken homegrown Bajaj Auto in production and sales, Honda on Wednesday launched its cheapest motorcycle in India’s volume-driven bike market. The 110cc Dream Neo is aimed at taking on former partner Hero MotoCorp’s flagship model Splendor. |
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Haryana gets Rs 1,500 cr CST compensation
Chandigarh, April 18 With the finance ministry according in-principle approval to settling compensation claims on account of the 1% CST concession granted to Maruti Suzuki India, the stage is set for payment of about Rs 1,500 crore to the state. “After concerted efforts, the central government has decided to rectify the calculation error regarding deduction of CST from Maruti Suzuki, paving the way for Haryana to get its legitimate claim,” Haryana Excise & Taxation Minister Kiran Choudhry said Thursday. Officials said Haryana had allowed the concessional CST rate of 1% to Maruti Suzuki to boost industrial sector in the state. However, the finance ministry dealt a double blow by making deduction on this account. Referring to the total CST compensation, Choudhry claimed Haryana was losing about Rs 3,000 crore per year on account of reduction of the rate of CST from 4% to 2%. She said Haryana had been pursuing the issue with New Delhi for the past two years. |
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