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Fifty Fifty
Guest Column |
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ground zero Raj Chengappa Even before Narendra Modi assumes office tomorrow evening, the Prime Minister-designate has shown he is capable of bold and novel moves, which have caught the imagination of the region if not the world. By extending an invitation to leaders of the South Asian Association for Regional Cooperation (SAARC) nations, including Pakistan, to attend his swearing-in ceremony, Modi has sent several important messages.
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Guest Column
Prime
Minister-designate Narendra Modi’s swearing in on May 26 will have heads of SAARC countries as honoured guests. This will strike the right chord for his government’s reaching out to our neighbours. It will record an invaluable first in the evolution of South Asian regionalism. Responses from invitees are most forthcoming, including from Prime Minister Nawaz Sharif. Bangladesh Speaker will stand in for Prime Minister Hasina. This impromptu gathering of SAARC heads will be Mr Modi’s opportunity for not only breaking ice but for charting new vistas for conviviality in the region. Their visit would also make up for the absence of a formal SAARC summit since 2011. Since they all lead and cherish democratic polity, they appreciate the vital significance of the formal inauguration of an elected government, as reflected in the spontaneous acceptance of New Delhi’s invitation. SAARC completes three decades next year. There were times (2002, 2004) when its summits modestly helped dispel frosty overhang from intra-regional diplomacy. The meetings in Delhi will go a long way in removing any apprehensions among neighbours about Mr Modi’s historic electoral triumph. His messages since have been unfailingly reassuring to his political opponents, to the poor and downtrodden, to all classes of society and to the aspiring youth across the board. As the basic premise of SAARC too lies in the quest for promoting welfare and improving the quality of life of the peoples of the region, it is natural that Mr Modi is starting with SAARC his diplomatic outreach, albeit with a largely ceremonial event and at short notice. Impromptu meetings are no stranger to other regions in India’s extended neighbourhood or in Europe and Latin America. The Arab leaders and those in ASEAN often transcend protocol and travel to regional capitals informally, and so do the Europeans. The message from Delhi carries similar sentiment. This would be no occasion to venture into addressing threadbare a whole host of expectations from the meetings of the SAARC leaders; bilaterally or regionally. Going by past experience, most of media attention and commentary may focus on the body language of the Prime Ministers of India and Pakistan. Doubtlessly, both sides will have been smart in unobtrusively availing this opportunity; leaving behind the tomes of futile discourse of past years on the point and purpose of a meeting or its venue. While this in itself is important enough, some introspection may not be out of place to take stock of the substantive and constructive agenda that SAARC as well as bilateral processes already have at hand. All they need is a determined push by the leaders. This entire agenda is a win-win for all without any hint of the zero-sum. Trade and investment, tourism, energy, transport, people to people connectivity, climate change and common approach to disaster management, pandemics and so forth. While intra SAARC trade is low — less than 5 per cent of its global trade — this can be quickly expanded by moving on with SAFTA and SATIS and related mechanisms for reducing not only tariff, but also non-tariff barriers, improving border transits, customs facilitation and harmonisation of standards. Just tariff liberalisation with Bangladesh has served to treble India-Bangladesh trade in the past three years from around $2 to $6 billion. Similar openings await trade between India and Pakistan where business communities on both sides of the border are eager to tap the synergy in geographical contiguity and economies. Given the informal and third country trade their direct trade can be stepped up to $8 to $10 billion. Trade and tourism across South Asia will benefit people all the way from tour operators, small traders, craftsmen, to hoteliers, aviation and transport, and families engaged throughout the value chain. Western Nepal, for example, treasures breathtaking but unexplored natural beauty for tourists. Tourism can contribute to alleviating poverty in that impoverished area bordering UP and Himachal Pradesh. The North East in South Asia cries out for connectivity, railways, roads and easy borders to promote economic activity. Similar opportunities abound in other sub-regions like India-Sri Lanka-Maldives for ferry service. While global financial institutions and non-profit bodies are keen to spur regional cooperation in South Asia, it is the indigenous public and private sector of the countries that need to speed up involvement and commitment. The SAARC Development Fund has a modest kitty (about $300 million) for project-based cooperation but a leadership push may work its promise, for example, to upgrade border transit points for trade. However, SAARC has limitations. It cannot be a substitute for what is needed to meet urgent domestic challenges. SAARC countries have large populations. Governance and public order are domestic imperatives for each. There must be no complacence about their shortcomings and no lowering of guard regardless of the success or failure of SAARC in word or deed. It is the mounting dearth of basic amenities for the millions across South Asia that breeds domestic turmoil. Meetings of South Asian leaders are opportunities to exchange notes and share experience on these burning problems, to engender empathy and build bridges — not grandstanding. Mr Modi’s life spans a long journey from humble origins to lofty portals of successful governance. He sounds not only as genetically optimistic but also assimilative, problem-solving and large hearted. India’s role in South Asia has to be humble and constructive and caring — elitist vanity or self-congratulation alienates people and should have no place in regional diplomacy. Sheel Kant Sharma, Ambassador and former Secretary General, SAARC |
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