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Slowdown in foreign trade compounds economic woes
Mumbai, June 1
Export data released on Friday confirmed a sharp slowdown in India’s foreign trade, adding to the woes of Asia's third-largest economy and piling more pressure on the weak coalition government to take steps to boost economic growth.

Weak growth rate sparks slew of downgrades; RBI rate cut expected
Mumbai, June 1
From "gasping elephant" to "stagflation", analysts have panned India's quarterly growth of 5.3 percent with some ominous language. India's growth in January-March was its weakest in nearly a decade, and sparked a new round of economic downgrades from investment banks, with Morgan Stanley cutting India's forecasts for the second time in as many weeks.

Air India-IA merger: Govt to begin implementing Dharmadhikari report in 45 days
New Delhi, June 1
Five years after the controversial Air India-Indian Airlines merger that unleashed a plethora of HR-related problems, the government announced on Friday that the implementation of uniform structures for pay, allowances and career progression for the 27,000-plus airline employees, including pilots, would begin in 45 days.



EARLIER STORIES



CII president Adi Godrej, chairman of the Godrej Group, addressing a press conference in New Delhi on Friday. He urged the RBI to cut key policy rates by at least one per cent and said the government needed to come out with stimulus package to revive the economy, adding the economic situation in India was worse than that during the global financial crisis of 2008-09.
CII president Adi Godrej, chairman of the Godrej Group, addressing a press conference in New Delhi on Friday. He urged the RBI to cut key policy rates by at least one per cent and said the government needed to come out with stimulus package to revive the economy, adding the economic situation in India was worse than that during the global financial crisis of 2008-09. — Tribune photo

Car sales hit bump in May; Maruti, GM, Ford slow down
New Delhi, June 1
India's top carmakers posted lacklustre sales in May as an excise tax hike and rising fuel prices hit demand, casting more gloom over the country's economic outlook. Carmakers are struggling to hit a sales target set by the local industry body as India's economy grows at the slowest pace in nine years, hurting an industry that has been one of the country's best performers over the past decade.

Can only take calibrated steps to defend Re: RBI
Mumbai, June 1
Sounding a grim note, a senior Reserve Bank of India official warned of further pain for the economy if the government did not act quickly to implement some corrective measures. "Unless we work hard (to take some corrective measures), the GDP rate will fall further," RBI deputy governor K.C. Chakraborty told reporters Friday. He made it clear the central bank was running out of ammunition to shore up the rupee.

CBI arrests senior SEBI official on bribery charges
New Delhi, June 1
After conducting raids in Delhi and Ahmedabad, the CBI arrested a deputy general manager of the Securities Exchange Board of India and a “middleman” for allegedly demanding and accepting a bribe of Rs 10 lakh from a complainant.


Technicians work in the Sikorsky S-92 helicopter cabin manufacturing facility at Tata Advanced Systems Ltd in Hyderabad. India's factory sector continued to expand in May, a key survey showed on Friday, indicating some confidence in Asia's third-largest economy after the release of dire growth data. The HSBC India Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI), a measure of factory output, was marginally down to 54.8 in May from 54.9 in April
Technicians work in the Sikorsky S-92 helicopter cabin manufacturing facility at Tata Advanced Systems Ltd in Hyderabad. India's factory sector continued to expand in May, a key survey showed on Friday, indicating some confidence in Asia's third-largest economy after the release of dire growth data. The HSBC India Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI), a measure of factory output, was marginally down to 54.8 in May from 54.9 in April. — AFP 







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Slowdown in foreign trade compounds economic woes

Mumbai, June 1
Export data released on Friday confirmed a sharp slowdown in India’s foreign trade, adding to the woes of Asia's third-largest economy and piling more pressure on the weak coalition government to take steps to boost economic growth.

Indian exports inched up 3.23 percent to $24.5 billion in April from a year earlier after falling in March, a far cry from the more than 20 percent growth recorded in recent years. India has been hit by falling demand from its traditional export markets in the United States and Europe.

The export figures compounded an already gloomy economic picture — GDP data on Thursday showed the economy grew at its slowest pace in nine years in the first three months of 2012. The rupee has also tumbled to record lows this week.

There was fresh evidence of a slowdown in the manufacturing sector, which accounts for nearly 15 percent of the economy, on Friday as India's top automaker Maruti Suzuki said its c ar sales in May fell 5.9 percent, dragged down by high fuel costs and an excise tax hike.

Faced with a barrage of dismal economic data in the past few months, the government's chief strategy has been to blame the downturn on high global oil prices and the eurozone debt crisis, while insisting that this is a temporary blip and growth prospects are still good.

This has infuriated investors who say a string of policy u-turns by the government and its failure to take aggressive action to narrow its rising trade and budget deficits and encourage more foreign investment are also to blame. — Reuters

 

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Weak growth rate sparks slew of downgrades; RBI rate cut expected

Mumbai, June 1
From "gasping elephant" to "stagflation", analysts have panned India's quarterly growth of 5.3 percent with some ominous language. India's growth in January-March was its weakest in nearly a decade, and sparked a new round of economic downgrades from investment banks, with Morgan Stanley cutting India's forecasts for the second time in as many weeks.

Some analysts also say they now expect a rate cut as early as on June 18, the next RBI meeting.

It will still be a close call though, given the central bank has expressed concerns about continued inflationary pressures and has previously shown reluctance to ease until later in the year.

Standard Chartered Bank cut its fiscal 2013 GDP forecast to 6.2% from 7.1%, adding a 25 basis point rate cut in June was "now more likely than before. — Reuters

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Air India-IA merger: Govt to begin implementing Dharmadhikari report in 45 days
Vibha Sharma/TNS

New Delhi, June 1
Five years after the controversial Air India-Indian Airlines merger that unleashed a plethora of HR-related problems, the government announced on Friday that the implementation of uniform structures for pay, allowances and career progression for the 27,000-plus airline employees, including pilots, would begin in 45 days.

The Indian Pilots Guild, which is spearheading the 26-day-old pilots' strike, rejected the report, saying it was biased in favour of the erstwhile IA employees.

Unveiling the roadmap for implementation of the justice D.M. Dharmadhikari committee recommendations on human resources integration of employees of the erstwhile IA and AI, Civil Aviation Minister Ajit Singh promised parity in payscales and working hours in the merged Air India.

April 1, 2007 has been set as cutoff date for new pay scales. A four-member panel, called the the implementation-cum-anomaly committee, has been set up to seek views of all sections of employees. “We will be patient and persuasive in talking to the employees. They will realize their future depends on the future of Air India,” Singh said.

Now whether the exercise will help resolve the 26-day management-AI pilots’ impasse that has crippled the national carrier is yet to be seen. The is fear of some more trouble brewing fact and its genesis is the fact that there will be uniform pay scale for all employees, including pilots, engineers and senior managerial staff. Parity in payscales and uniform working conditions also means that pilots, whether those flying narrow-bodied or wide-bodied aircraft, will be treated equally.

Significantly, according to Singh, the report recommended abolishment of production-linked-incentive (PLI) for employees and this essentially means that pilots, engineers and senior staff would get allowances as per industry standards. “Payscales and allowance structure would be determined on the basis of industry norms. Since these issues are not dealt with by DPE guidelines, the cabinet’s approval is required,” he said.

In other words this means that the niche group, constituting 20 per cent of AI staff, will be take home a pay packet far lesser that what they are getting now. PLIs constitute a major chunk of not just the salaries of pilots, cabin crew and engineers but also that of senior managerial staff.

The decision has evoked mixed reactions. Aviation expert Jitendra Bhargava said, “The report is good in parts but it needs through examination and careful implementation”.

As expected, reactions from the side of pilots and senior managerial staff were not favourable. They say if these recommendations were implemented, the management may end up with more HR problems. “The rivalry between pilots of the erstwhile IPG (Air India) and ICPA (Indian Airlines) is well known. Issues should be thrashed out to ensure there is no resentment in the cockpit,” they said.

However, welcoming the move, Air Corporation Employees Union president Arun Kumar Malhotra said out of the Rs 3,000 crore AI wage bill, a whopping Rs 1,800 crore goes toward disbursement of PLIs for 20% of the employees. The cutting down of PLIs is expected to save the cash-strapped of Rs 250 crore every year.

PILOTS’ STRIKE STILL ON: Close to a month after Air India pilots decided to strike work, IPG president Jitendra Awhad on Friday offered to quit provided all the 100-plus suspended pilots were reinstated. However, Ajit Singh again reiterated that demands of the striking pilots would only be examined after they unilaterally call off the “illegal strike” and resume work. 

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Car sales hit bump in May; Maruti, GM, Ford slow down
TNS & Agencies

New Delhi, June 1
India's top carmakers posted lacklustre sales in May as an excise tax hike and rising fuel prices hit demand, casting more gloom over the country's economic outlook.

Carmakers are struggling to hit a sales target set by the local industry body as India's economy grows at the slowest pace in nine years, hurting an industry that has been one of the country's best performers over the past decade.

"Things are not looking good," said Sugato Sen, senior director of the Society of Indian Automobile Manufacturers (SIAM), which has forecast 10% to 12% sales growth in the fiscal to March 2013. "We didn’t expect that sales would be so low. The economic sentiment is not positive."

Maruti Suzuki, the biggest carmaker with a 45% market share, said passenger car sales fell 5.9% from a year earlier. Tata Motors, the country's no. 3, posted a 6% increase.

Ford, which manufactures cars in India, said its sales in the country fell 14%. General Motors reported a 27% slide in sales. TVS Motor, the country's third-largest two-wheeler manufacturer, said its sales declined 4.8%.

The government raised petrol prices by around 11% last month, hurting car makers already reeling from an excise hike announced in the federal budget in March and a weakening of the rupee that is jacking up import costs.

India's economy grew 5.3% in the first three months of 2012, compared with 9.2% a year earlier, with the manufacturing sector contracting 0.3%.

Car sales in the country rose 30% in 2010-11, attracting billions of dollars in investment from automakers such as Ford, Nissan and Renault. But a slowing economy dragged sales growth down to 2.2% in the last fiscal year.

Mahindra's car sales rose 27% in May, mainly thanks to its all-diesel range. Demand for diesel cars has doubled over the past year to around 40% of sales due to government subsidies on diesel.

Honda Siel Cars India posted a 343% jump in sales in May, while Nissan Motor India reported a 98% year-on-year rise in sales.

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Can only take calibrated steps to defend Re: RBI
TNS & Agencies

Mumbai, June 1
Sounding a grim note, a senior Reserve Bank of India official warned of further pain for the economy if the government did not act quickly to implement some corrective measures.

"Unless we work hard (to take some corrective measures), the GDP rate will fall further," RBI deputy governor K.C. Chakraborty told reporters Friday. He made it clear the central bank was running out of ammunition to shore up the rupee.

"If the rupee's fall is because of fundamental weakness or (due to) the global situation ..., we cannot arrest it," K.C. Chakrabarty told reporters on the sidelines of a banking event here.

He added the RBI was monitoring the rupee's falls and would take measures as needed, though he added: "We need to do it in a calibrated manner."

India's trade deficit stood at $13.5 billion in April, while economic growth in the January-March quarter slumped to its weakest in nine years. New Delhi's inability to push reforms or take hard decisions to cut subsidies have added to the gloom.

Doubts about India's ability to fix its finances have also weighed heavily on the rupee, as investors worry the government will overshoot its deficit target of 5.1% of GDP for the fiscal ending next March.

The rupee fell to a lifetime low of 56.52 to the dollar on Thursday, down 13.3 percent from its 2012 high in early February, making it the worst performing currency in Asia so far this year.

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CBI arrests senior SEBI official on bribery charges
Tribune News Service

New Delhi, June 1
After conducting raids in Delhi and Ahmedabad, the CBI arrested a deputy general manager of the Securities Exchange Board of India and a “middleman” for allegedly demanding and accepting a bribe of Rs 10 lakh from a complainant.

In a statement issued by the CBI it was alleged SEBI had barred an Ahmedabad-based stock trader from trading in September 2011 for alleged market manipulation using global depository receipts GDR issues and initiated an enquiry against the firm.

A CBI official said thereafter investigation was initiated by the market regulator against the firm. The SEBI deputy general manager who was conducting an investigation had issued a show cause notice to the complainant’s firm. 

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