Monday, June 30, 2003, Chandigarh, India






National Capital Region--Delhi

THE TRIBUNE SPECIALS
50 YEARS OF INDEPENDENCE

TERCENTENARY CELEBRATIONS
B U S I N E S S

NEWS ANALYSIS
Lessons India has to learn from China
L
ast Saturday the world's longest steel-arched bridge across the Huangpu river, built at a cost of 2.5 billion yuan ($302 million), was opened in Shanghai, not by a politician, but by a Chinese basketball player. The player, Yao Ming, led a fun race of about 1,000 people on the bridge to mark the event.

Lupu bridge: the changing face of China.

Lupu bridge: the changing face of China.

Steel prices to go up from today
New Delhi, June 29
Buoyed by recovery in demand from China after it was declared SARS free, the leading steel manufacturers are all set to increase prices in the range of Rs 400-700 per tonne from Monday.



EARLIER STORIES
 

FIIs record net inflows of 9,640 cr
Mumbai, June 29
Foreign Institutional Investors (FIIs) have recorded net inflows of Rs 9,640 crore ($ 2030.3 million) in the equity and debt market during the first half of calendar year ending June 28, 2003.

FIEO’s 9-point charter to RBI
New Delhi, June 29
Apex exporters body FIEO has submitted a nine point charter of demands to RBI seeking increased export credit, concessional finance and waiver of stamp duty on export bills.

Investors again shifting to UTI mutual funds
Chandigarh, June 29
After the fall in interest rates and some bad experiences in the stock market, a large section of investors are now turning towards mutual funds. The government’s successful handling of the US 64 crisis has again raised the hopes of the investors that they could safely invest with the Unit Trust of India (UTI).

Two-wheeler sales slow down
New Delhi, June 29
Two-wheelers lost their growth momentum during the first two months of this fiscal recording a marginal 1.5 per cent rise in sales.

Bank officers demand early wage revision
Chandigarh, June 29
Mr R.C. Aggarwal, who has been appointed by the Government of India, as the Officers’ Representative Director on the Board of Central Bank of India said the wage revision settlement of officers has become due since November 1, 2002, but to this date no worth-while progress has taken place in the negotiations.

MARKET SCAN

It’s time to book profit
T
he Bull has been dominating the stock exchange during the last fortnight and the Sensex has moved up by 216 points. Virtually, there has not been any real break in the onward March in stock exchange.
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NEWS ANALYSIS
Lessons India has to learn from China
by Nirmal Sandhu

Last Saturday the world's longest steel-arched bridge across the Huangpu river, built at a cost of 2.5 billion yuan ($302 million), was opened in Shanghai, not by a politician, but by a Chinese basketball player. The player, Yao Ming, led a fun race of about 1,000 people on the bridge to mark the event. Called the Lupu bridge, it is built from steel and its 550-metre arch is longer than the previous record holder bridge in Virginia.

China is spending billions of dollars to build bridges, tunnels, roads and a massive subway network. Shanghai will also have the world's tallest building, a 492-metre high skyscraper by 2007. It is doing things differently, in a much bigger way and in keeping with its status of being the world’s fastest growing economy.

China’s phenomenal growth in recent years has proved wrong what they taught us in school and college, that is, India is poor because it has a large population. China’s population is placed at 1.3 billion. Life expectancy is 69 years for men and 73 years for women. Their average annual income is $890. These are UN figures.

We Indians have not yet learned to deal with China. From Nehru’s “bhai-bhai” talk to the 1962 humiliation, the harbouring of the Dalai Lama and his followers to Sikkim, Fernandes’s loose talk of China being “enemy No 1” to Prime Minister Vajpayee’s conflicting statements on Tibet, our attitude towards China swings from plain hostility to open admiration. The past weighs on us and clouds our future. The two countries share more than 4,000 km of border and its demarcation is disputed.

Everyone will breathe much easier if economics and pragmatism dislodge politics from the centrestage. When Chinese Premier Zhu Rongji visited India in January, 2002, he did not let politics interfere with his mission. An admirer of India’s software strength, he wanted China to excel in IT, the only field in which it is behind India. So he went to India’s IT hub, Bangalore, visited the Infosys office, met N. R. Naryana Murthy and Azim Premji, and invited Indian companies to Shanghai’s Pudong Software Park. Today India’s best in IT — Infosys, Wipro and Satyam — have operations in China. NIIT is fast spreading its wings there. By 2005 it will have some 500 software training centres and tie-ups with Chinese universities. Local universities still distrust corporates.

Compare the Zhu visit with that of our Prime Minister and his 100-member business delegation. Back home wide-eyed, they all have a lot to talk about, but pretty little that makes sense. The media wastes reams of paper and readers’ time interpreting ambiguous diplomatic gestures and jargon. They will say everything except what is required.

When cheap Chinese toys, TV sets, bicycles and other small products arrived in India, the industry raised hell and clamoured for protection. A few years down the line, none bothers. Their quality is questioned. Dumping is always welcome. Why should consumers be forced to pay more to save inefficient local units?

Dr Reddy’s Lab, a big name in pharmaceuticals, used to produce norfloxacin, an ingredient in antibiotics, until the Chinese made it available in the Indian market at half the price. Dr Reddy’s Lab now buys cheaper raw material from China to cut costs. So does Ranbaxy.

Work culture in China is investor friendly. Officialdom is functional, not a hurdle. It took Ranbaxy 11 years to relocate its Delhi office from a run-down place to a posh locality matching its global status. China’s labour laws allow companies more freedom, workers’ unions don’t strike work so often. Their wages are three times those in India. World class infrastructure is coming up. Small wonder that direct foreign investment in that country is more than 20 times that in India ($ 46.8 billion in 2001 compared to India’s $2.3 billion).

Finally, what has made China’s high growth possible: favourable tax policies, incentives to foreign companies, special economic zones, high-tech parks, open economic areas, bonded and free trade zones. China is the world’s largest producer of coal and second largest producer of electricity. Their efficient manufacturing, economies of scale and lower rates of utilities ensure cheaper products.

India opened up its economy in 1991, China did it in 1978. China abandoned Marxism and became pragmatic: “the colour of the cat doesn’t matter as long as it catches mice”. India is still dithering on reforms. Politics, corruption, red-tape, bloated bureaucracy, old mindset, resistance to change, lack of effective leadership and public awareness have all slowed down the march of this elephant. That is why Indian talent, sick of systemic hassles and a taxing work culture, blooms in a freer environment abroad. 
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Steel prices to go up from today

New Delhi, June 29
Buoyed by recovery in demand from China after it was declared SARS free, the leading steel manufacturers are all set to increase prices in the range of Rs 400-700 per tonne from Monday.

Steel demand from China which had slowed down due to SARS has started picking up again and its impact can be felt on global prices and thus a price rise on the domestic front is natural, industry sources told PTI here.

All the leading manufacturers SAIL, Tata, Essar, Ispat and Jindal Vijaynagar are expected to undertake an upward price revision from Monday.

China had also been a bit restrained in buying as it was facing the problem of stock piling, they said and added that now with the construction activity going full swing after it recovered from SARS, the demand is expected to go up further.

Steel prices, after witnessing a continuous northward movement in the first quarter of the calendar year, had stabilised considerably on the global as well as domestic front. The price rise is expected to be in all product segments including HR coils and flat products.

HR coil prices are currently ruling around Rs 18,900-20,500 per tonne while CR Sheet is at Rs 23,000-25,350 per tonne.

Sources said demand of flat products from China will be consistent at least for three years as China did not have capacities in flat products and fresh capacity addition will take at least two-three years. — PTI 
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FIIs record net inflows of 9,640 cr

Mumbai, June 29
Foreign Institutional Investors (FIIs) have recorded net inflows of Rs 9,640 crore ($ 2030.3 million) in the equity and debt market during the first half of calendar year ending June 28, 2003.

FIIs have invested Rs 33,806 crore while recording sales of Rs 24,165 crore during the period under review, according to data available with SEBI here.

Out of the total net purchases of Rs 9,640 crore, almost one third of net inflows at Rs 3,210.7 crore ($ 681.1 mn) came in the month of June itself.

The net investment by foreign funds into Indian capital market till June 28 was at Rs 68,589.3 crore ($ 17,339.2 mn) while the number of registered FIIs stood at 509, it said.

In the month of June, FIIs were active in equity market with net purchases of Rs 2,330.5 crore ($ 494.3 mn). On the debt front, they recorded net inflows of Rs 880.1 crore ($ 186.7 mn). — PTI
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FIEO’s 9-point charter to RBI

New Delhi, June 29
Apex exporters body FIEO has submitted a nine point charter of demands to RBI seeking increased export credit, concessional finance and waiver of stamp duty on export bills.

In a memorandum submitted to RBI Deputy Governor, The Federation of Indian Exporters Organisation has asked the government to ensure concessional rate for export finance for 360 days. The memorandum was submitted by FIEO vice president Subash Mittal along with O.P. Garg, FIEO managing committee member and Ganesh Kumar, FIEO chairman to Vepa Kamesam, Deputy Governor, RBI.

Pointing out that as the status holders a period of 360 days had been allowed for realisation of export proceeds, FIEO Vice President Subhash Mittal told PTI that banks too should be directed to allow them a repatriation time of 360 days as per RBI norms, charging a concessional rate of interest for the entire 360-day period.

Mittal said banks should also charge interest on term loans on the same basis as they charge interest on packing credit and added that there was also a need for them to not charge any stamp duty on export bills as it did not have any legal sanctity in foreign land .— PTI
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Investors again shifting to UTI mutual funds
Manoj Kumar
Tribune News Service

Chandigarh, June 29
After the fall in interest rates and some bad experiences in the stock market, a large section of investors are now turning towards mutual funds. The government’s successful handling of the US 64 crisis has again raised the hopes of the investors that they could safely invest with the Unit Trust of India (UTI). The public sector mutual fund in already passing through a restructuring phase.

The analysts say that despite stiff competition from private mutual fund players, the UTI debt funds have done quite well in the recent past. They offer relatively low risk yields and easy liquidity. Unlike investment in high risk equity market, in the debt schemes one is assured that investment would be made in rated corporate debt papers and government securities.

The UTI Bond Fund in one such scheme, in which about Rs 1700 crore had been invested. Since launched in 1998, it has yielded a return of 12.47 per cent under growth plan and 12.62 per cent under income plan. During the past year, the growth linked option has yielded 10.64 per cent interest and under income plan option, the investors have got 11.15 per cent returns. The Financial analysts admit that the scheme may not offer as much high returns in the future, but it is expected to yield returns above bank term deposit interest rates.

The UTI has invested the fund in 100 per cent debentures of highly rated companies like the Reliance Industries, Jet Airways, of banks like the SBI, PNB, IDBI, ICICI and housing and finance companies such as LIC Housing Finance, HDFC and GE Capital service India. Says Col. MGS Khurana (Retd), a leading Financial Advisor here, ‘‘A large number of investors in the region are shifting towards low risk mutual funds. Though there is lack of awareness among the investors about risk factor, but the fact is that they are relatively safer than the shares, and offer decent returns.’’

He says the investors which are ready to expose a part of their investment to equity instruments, can invest in the UTI Regular income scheme Floated in September, 2002, it is an open ended debt oriented fund, where a minimum of 90 per cent funds are invested in debt and government securities and a maximum of 10 per cent in equity instruments.

Says another financial expert, the investors who just want to have an experience of mutual funds, could invest in UTI G Sec Fund, where 100 per cent investment is being made in Central government securities, including call money, treasury bills and reports of varying maturities with a view to generate credit free return. Its net asset value (NAV) for growth option is hovering around Rs 16.88 and for income option Rs 10.88. The fund has shown an annualised return of 13.69 per cent in the last one year and 14.99 per cent since its inception in August 1999.
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Two-wheeler sales slow down

New Delhi, June 29
Two-wheelers lost their growth momentum during the first two months of this fiscal recording a marginal 1.5 per cent rise in sales.

This was primarily because of a modest increase in motorcycle demand even as scooters and mopeds continued to ride into negative territory, data compiled by the Society of Indian Automobile Manufacturers showed.

A total of 8.20 lakh two-wheelers were sold in the country during April-May 2003 against 8.08 lakh units in the same period last year, the data showed.

Motor cycles, which witnessed strong growth till recent months, posted a modest 6.7 per cent increase to 6.50 lakh units (6.10 lakh units during April-May 2002-03).

India’s biggest motor cycle maker, Hero Honda Motors recorded a 5.4 per cent rise to 2.95 lakh units while its closest rival, Bajaj Auto, posted a 2.15 per cent growth at 1.53 lakh units.

Motor cycle sales of Chennai-based TVS Motor Company went up by 10.4 per cent to 1.20 lakh units, propelled by its 110cc motor cycle ‘Victor’.

Sales of Kanpur-based LML soared by 689.2 per cent to 38,514 units on the back of strong demand for the recently-launched 110cc motor cycle ‘Freedom’.

However, the wholly-owned subsidiary of Yamaha Motor of Japan suffered a 42.1 per cent drop to 32,147 units.

Motor cycle sales of Kinetic Engineering and Royal Enfield also registered decline of 18 and 12.7 per cent to 5,015 and 3,585 units respectively. — PTI
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Bank officers demand early wage revision
Tribune News Service

Chandigarh, June 29
Mr R.C. Aggarwal, who has been appointed by the Government of India, as the Officers’ Representative Director on the Board of Central Bank of India said the wage revision settlement of officers has become due since November 1, 2002, but to this date no worth-while progress has taken place in the negotiations. The officers’ organisation demands early wage revision.

The government has taken some steps, on the demand of AIBOC, against the defaulters of banks in the form of Securitisation Act. However, steps have not been effectively implemented so far. The results are not to the expected levels. AIBOC is pursuing the matter with the government to bring about changes in the law and make defaults in banks loans as criminal offence, said Mr Aggarwal while addressing the bank officers.
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MARKET SCAN

It’s time to book profit
J.C. Anand

The Bull has been dominating the stock exchange during the last fortnight and the Sensex has moved up by 216 points. Virtually, there has not been any real break in the onward March in stock exchange. Good news have been in plenty. Maruti’s share offer has received tremendous response from the interesting public and the selling share-holder (Govt of India) has exercised the option of retaining oversubscription to increase the size of the offer by 7,224,300 equity share (increasing the size of the offer of Rs 9933.45 million). The mutual funds have also been heavy subscribers to the issue. FII s have also entered the market and have made large investment in blue-chip equities. This kind of bull-face has not been seen in the market for many years.

It is, however, time to take stock of the position and take proper action to avoid losses. Now. that all the major companies have declared their annual results, not much is left to sustain the bull market any more. Buy mid-July, the first quarter results would start trickling in. Many analysts believe that the first quarter results would not be impressive. Even otherwise, so far no major technical correction has come to the run-away bull phase in the stock market and a major profit-taking appears to be almost certain. While the bull has been the king during the last month, it is now the turn of the bear to dominate the market. It is time for investors to book profit this week to avoid being trapped by the bear.

Some corporate sectors have risen so high that there is no further scope for any further upward movement. In this category, I would place banks, textiles, automobile ancillaries speciality chemicals sectors among a few others. Tea shares have not reported good results and there is no immediate scope for any rise in share prices of tea companies.

Larsen & Toubro has now accepted vertical demerger of cement sector of the company which now will be acquired by Birla Group of Company Grasim. It would, however, take about 10 months or so for completing legal formalities to complete the process of demerger. L&T shares is now quoting around Rs 249. Those investors who have the patience to wait for a year or so will secure ample reward from this demerger decision. Share-holders in L&T will get eight shares in the cement demerged company for every 10 shares held by them. The Birla Group will by buying 20 per cent of shares in the new cement company from the share-holders @ Rs 170 per share.

Knowledgeable, analyst maintain that is a win-win situation for both the Birla Group and L&T management. Even if Birla’s buy-back offer does not cover a share-holder, the cement company’s cost to a share-holder would come at Rs 170 per share and the L&T segment at Rs 120. Both these companies appeared to be much under-priced at these rates and there is ample/scope for further appreciation when legal formalities for this demerger are completed. L&T segment has received large orders from defence as well as for construction activities.

Vardhman Polytex has recommended a dividend of 42 per cent. The performance of the Company, however, is moderate and the higher net profit Rs 18.00 crore (as against Rs 4.00 crore last year) is largely due to “other income” derived from sale of the Baddi Unit of the Company to Mahavir Spinning Mills for cash consideration of Rs 93.93 crore. Vardhman Polytex is no longer a part of the Vardhman Group controlling Mahavir Spinning and Vardhman Spinning.

Sebi has made important changes in the norms for initial public offerings by book-building route. These changes will improve the chances of retail investors in allotment of shares as against large investors. The definition of the retail and small investor will not be someone who applies for shares worth Rs 50,000 or less in value in place of the present definition of those applying up to 1000 shares or less. The small investors will get 45 per cent of the total issue.
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BIZ BRIEFS

Inflation falls
New Delhi, June 29
The annual inflation rate fell below 5 per cent for the first time in three-and-a-half months, declining by 0.08 per cent at 4.97 per cent during the week ended June 14. The WPI-based inflation rate slid despite higher prices of essential items like fruits and vegetables. However, prices of soft drinks, woollen yarn and magnesite declined. — UNI

Bajaj Auto
New Delhi, June 29
Bajaj Auto is all set to launch a 125cc ‘World Bike’ next month, which will be sourced by Japanese two-wheeler major Kawasaki for the international market, a senior company official said. Codenamed ‘612’, the motor cycle would be initially introduced in the domestic market and later sold in overseas markets by Bajaj Auto’s technical partner, Kawasaki Heavy Industries. — PTI

IIM Indore
Indore, June 29
The prestigious Indian Institute of Management (IIM), Indore, rated among the country’s top six business schools, will begin functioning at its new 122-acre premises from the academic session starting next month. — UNI

NIIT
New Delhi, June 29
IT education and training major NIIT will set up 15 Centres of Excellence in China to offer high-end training for corporations in provinces. Through these CoEs, NIIT will train top management, project managers, software engineers and IT users employed with IT companies in 15 provinces in China. — PTI

BoP branch
Chandigarh, June 29
Bank of Punjab will open its 112th branch at Pune tomorrow. The branches operational in Mumbai. The branch will provide extended banking services from 10 a.m. to 6 p.m. to the general public. — TNS

ICICI Bank
Mumbai, June 29
The Reserve Bank of India has approved the decision of ICICI Bank’s board of directors to give a dividend of Rs 7.50 per for equity share (Rs 15 per ADR since each ADR represents two underlying shares) for the financial year 2003 effective from August 5, 2003. — UNI

Maruti listing
New Delhi, June 29
Following a highly successful response to the initial public offering of shares, car major Maruti is expected to obtain clearance from Mumbai Stock Exchange by July 1. — PTI
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