Tuesday, June 18, 2002, Chandigarh, India






National Capital Region--Delhi

THE TRIBUNE SPECIALS
50 YEARS OF INDEPENDENCE

TERCENTENARY CELEBRATIONS
W O R L D

Musharraf’s J&K policy draws flak at home
Washington, June 17
Although tension between India and Pakistan appears to be receding, the biggest challenge to Pakistan President Pervez Musharraf’s power still remains, according to a global strategic forecasting firm.

No US intervention if war breaks out
Both the USA and China are reported to have made it clear to President Pervez Musharraf of Pakistan that they will not intervene in the event of a war between India and Pakistan.

US Embassy in Islamabad reopens
Islamabad, June 17
Three days after the car bomb attack at its consulate in Karachi, the USA today reopened its embassy here and consulates in Lahore and Peshawar even as Pakistani and American investigators continued search for clues about the identity of the attackers. However, the US Consulate in Karachi remained shut.

Rice: USA has no role in Kashmir
Washington, June 17
The USA has reiterated that it has no role in the resolution of the Kashmir issue.
“We believe that if it could be a bilateral dialogue, that would be better. Ultimately, the two parties need to have a dialogue about the underlying problems here,’’ National Security Adviser Condoleeza Rice said in an interview to Mercury News.



EARLIER STORIES
  Chirac’s party triumphs in poll
Paris, June 17
France’s Conservatives trounced the Left and drummed the extreme right back to the sidelines in a landslide election win that gives President Jacques Chirac a new lease of life and a firm grip on power.

French Prime Minister Jean-Pierre Raffarin leaves the Elysee Palace on Monday after handing in the resignation of his government. French President Jacques Chirac confirmed Raffarin in his post as Prime Minister after the President’s party won in the parliamentary elections. — Reuters photo

French Prime Minister Jean-Pierre Raffarin leaves the Elysee Palace on Monday after handing in the resignation of his government.

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Musharraf’s J&K policy draws flak at home

Washington, June 17
Although tension between India and Pakistan appears to be receding, the biggest challenge to Pakistan President Pervez Musharraf’s power still remains, according to a global strategic forecasting firm.

The Strategic Forecasts (Stratfor) said in the midst of negotiations to persuade India to reduce its military build-up, President Musharraf had “apparently” taken concrete steps to temporarily suspend recruiting and fund-raising by pro-Pakistani Kashmiri militants to stem cross-border terrorist attacks on Indian targets.

But support for Kashmiri militants — whether tacit or direct “in their fight against India” is the “sacred cow” of Pakistani politics, an issue no leader in the country can back down on, Stratfor said.

Although some Kashmiri groups have agreed to cooperate with President Musharraf due to the threat of war with India, his apparent reversal on Islamabad’s long-standing policy has drawn criticism from militants, Islamic leaders, secular political parties and even members of the military, it said.

Since assuming power in a 1999 coup, President Musharraf has managed to retain broad support both from the general public and the military despite several seemingly controversial moves.

The domestic crackdown on warring Islamic sects and Islamist militants were not gestures to the West as much as they were an attempt to reshape Pakistan and regain central control in Islamabad, Stratfor said.

President Musharraf’s greater design is to reform Pakistan into an Islamic state led by a secular military, similar to Turkey.

This plan appeased the military and the moderate middle class and left the fringe Islamic militants and some elements of the military and intelligence service, who had a vested interest in the status quo, to oppose his programmes, it said.

President Musharraf’s support declined, at the start of the US war against terrorism, when he distanced himself from the Taliban and allowed US forces to operate from Pakistani territory.

But given the choice between “conditionally acceding to US demands or ending up on the receiving end of a US bombing campaign, President Musharraf had plenty of justification to assuage those who feared he was selling out Pakistan to the USA.’’

However, President Musharraff refrained from taking steps to rein in the militants in Kashmir — until now, Stratfor said.

“Having tampered with Islamabad’s Kashmir policy, President Musharraf is now facing a critical test of his power and control.’’

Stratfor said President Musharraf appeared confident in his decision.

“If the cries against President Musharraf fail to evolve into action, the president will have free rein in dealing with domestic and foreign problems as he sees fit. However, if the outcry is more than just bluster, Pakistan — and all of South Asia — may be in for some rough times.’’ UNI
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No US intervention if war breaks out
A. Balu

Both the USA and China are reported to have made it clear to President Pervez Musharraf of Pakistan that they will not intervene in the event of a war between India and Pakistan.

According to noted columnist Jim Hoagland, US Deputy Secretary of State Richard Armitage, during his recent meeting with General Musharraf did not have to dwell on the immediate risks the Pakistani General faced. The USA had told General Musharraf that it would not be able to stop India from attacking if he offered no movement. Washington would not come to his aid if that happened.

In his article in the Washington Post on Sunday, Jim Hoagland said China, pursuing better relations with India, had also let Pakistan know that it would not intervene if war occurred.

It was against this bleak horizon that General Musharraf took up the US suggestion that a pledge to halt permanently the infiltration that had been episodic over the past six months was the only way to move the Indians off war footing. The change, the columnist, noted, was announced not in Islamabad or New Delhi but in Washington, as if to emphasise the US role in guaranteeing the promise.

According to Jim Hoagland, the essential new element is General Musharraf’s undertaking to close down the 50 to 60 terrorism “camps” the Indians have identified in Kashmir. These range from a collection of a few tents in fields to well-established urban neighbourhoods that terrorists control. “But General Musharraf is now committed to ripping out the plumbing of the terror network created by his intelligence services.”

The columnist believes India’s acceptance of America’s role as an “honest broker” in the current crisis is a strategic shift worth developing. “There is now an opportunity to use this crisis to reverse decades of mutual distrust between Washington and New Delhi that prevailed during the Cold War. This is the big picture the Bush administration must keep in view.”
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US Embassy in Islamabad reopens

Islamabad, June 17
Three days after the car bomb attack at its consulate in Karachi, the USA today reopened its embassy here and consulates in Lahore and Peshawar even as Pakistani and American investigators continued search for clues about the identity of the attackers.

However, the US Consulate in Karachi remained shut.

“With the exception of the Consulate-General in Karachi, all US mission facilities in Pakistan, including the embassy’s consular section, are operating normally today,” an embassy spokeswoman said.

More than 24 US investigators are working with their Pakistani counterparts in Karachi for clues.

Senior investigator Manzoor Mughal was quoted as saying that three persons had been questioned. They included a car mechanic, a security guard and a student from a madrassa.

The previously unknown Al-Qanoon, which has claimed responsibility for the Friday attack, yesterday faxed a message to Pakistani newspaper Ummat calling on President Pervez Musharraf to resign and threatened more attacks. PTI
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Rice: USA has no role in Kashmir

Washington, June 17
The USA has reiterated that it has no role in the resolution of the Kashmir issue.

“We believe that if it could be a bilateral dialogue, that would be better. Ultimately, the two parties need to have a dialogue about the underlying problems here,’’ National Security Adviser Condoleeza Rice said in an interview to Mercury News.

“The Bush administration was hopeful of easing tensions between India and Pakistan over Kashmir. Still, more talks between the two countries need to take place to avoid a possible nuclear confrontation in the future,’’ Ms Rice said.

On the war against terrorism, she said the Al-Qaida was on the run, but still Americans needed to be vigilant against potential attacks.

“We have seriously degraded their capability to do certain things; certainly they can’t train in the way that they once did, they can’t communicate in the way they once did but this is a very shadowy network that has dug itself in a lot of places and probably pretty decentralised, and so I don’t think anybody can be certain we can avoid or prevent another attack,’’ Ms Rice said.

She said President Bush would outline the US approach to a Middle East peace settlement this week, including moving towards establi- shing a Palestinian state. “But such a state should not be based on Mr Yasser Arafat’s Palestinian Authority.’’ UNI
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Chirac’s party triumphs in poll

Paris, June 17
France’s Conservatives trounced the Left and drummed the extreme right back to the sidelines in a landslide election win that gives President Jacques Chirac a new lease of life and a firm grip on power.

The parliamentary triumph closed the curtains on five years of Left-wing rule and two months of elections which started and ended in unprecedented apathy — with a brief interlude when millions hit the streets in protest after a shock score by the far right.

With all but 12 of 577 constituencies declared, Mr Chirac’s allies took 392 seats, leaving the Socialists and other Leftists with just 173.

The anti-immigrant National Front failed to win any seats despite leader Jean-Marie Le Pen’s fleeting success in qualifying for the presidential runoff vote against Mr Chirac eight weeks ago.

Mr Jean-Pierre Raffarin, named Prime Minister of a stop-gap government after Mr Chirac’s May 5 re-election, was expected to announce a similar, more permanent Cabinet tomorrow, and he vowed to enact everything promised by the 69-year-old President. It concluded a double-run of two-round competitions for the presidency and Parliament.

Mr Chirac won with 82 per cent of the vote, but only after protests marches nationwide and backing from Left-wingers bent on halting Le Pen.

Former Socialist Prime Minister Lionel Jospin bowed out of politics after Mr Le Pen beat him to the final presidential duel.

Ms Martine Aubry, the daughter of one-time European Commission President Jacques Delors lost her seat in northern France yesterday and struggled to hold back tears on television.

Other victims included Mr Robert Hue, the man who also ran for President on behalf of the ailing Communist Party. Reuters
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PAKISTAN BRIEFS

MUSHARRAF WARNED ON KASHMIR CAUSE
ISLAMABAD:
Various religious and political leaders in Pakistan have warned military ruler Gen Pervez Musharraf against an Afghanistan-like U-turn on Kashmir. “The military government, which had already sold out Afghanistan must not do the same with Kashmir because it would amount to betraying Pakistan, and all religious forces now stand united to resist it,’’ they warned at a rally organised by the Muttahida Majlis Amal (MMA) at Minar-i-Pakistan in Lahore on Sunday, The News reported. Chief of the largest religious party in the country Qazi Hussain Ahmad advised General Musharraf not to back out from supporting Kashmiris, otherwise the nation would not allow him to rule any further. UNI

Special envoy of Pakistan President Pervez Musharraf Najmuddin Shaikh meets Japan’s Prime Minister Junichiro Koizumi at the official residence in Tokyo on Monday.
Special envoy of Pakistan President Pervez Musharraf Najmuddin Shaikh (L) meets Japan’s Prime Minister Junichiro Koizumi at the official residence in Tokyo on Monday. Former Foreign Secretary Shaikh is in Japan to explain Pakistan’s position in its dispute with India. — Reuters

SAARC SHOULD ‘MEDIATE’ ON KASHMIR
KATHMANDU:
The South Asian Association for Regional Co-operation (SAARC) should play a lead role in de-escalating tensions between South Asian nuclear power neighbours India and Pakistan over Kashmir, says a Pakistani scholar. “Individual SAARC countries’ initiative may be weak but collective efforts will be sufficient to exert pressure for cooling off the issue,” Ms Shireem M. Mazari, Director-General of the Pakistan Institute of Strategic Studies, said on Sunday. UNI

INTERIM GOVT SHOULD HOLD POLL: JiI
ISLAMABAD:
Pakistan’s largest religious party, the Jamaat-i-Islami (JiI), has said that an interim government should be appointed to hold the October general election. Deputy chief of the party, Prof Ghafoor Ahmad, said on Saturday in Hyderabad that there was a consensus among political parties that no amendments should be made to the constitution and an interim government should be appointed for the general election, The Nation’ reported. He said no member of the interim government should be allowed to contest the election. UNI

PAK FOREIGN POLICY, A ‘FAILURE’
ISLAMABAD:
Pakistan’s foreign office has no say in formulating the country’s foreign policy and the intelligence agencies control it, says a former Foreign Secretary. Mr Shaheryar Khan, who was recently humiliated by Intelligence Bureau men when he was busy conducting ceremonies connected with his mother’s demise, told the London-based Urdu weekly Nation that Pakistan’s foreign policy was a failure. Intelligence agencies determined foreign policy, he stressed, adding that the foreign office remained generally unaware of policy decisions. UNI

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