Thursday, August 24, 2000, Chandigarh, India
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P.R. Kumaramangalam FOR full one week everyone knew that Union Energy Minister Kumaramangalam was fighting a losing battle for life; yet his death has come as a shock to the entire political fraternity. Fortyeight years is no age to die, not for a man so full of life and energy. Many disagreed with him on his ideology, or lack of strict adherence to it. Bush or Gore? Japan calling IT India |
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US PRESIDENTIAL
CAMPAIGN by R. S. Bedi IN the fifties the IAF first earned the dubious distinction of flying “coffins”. It had resurrected some aircraft for its use from the junkyard of B-29 bombers left behind by the Americans after the war, instead of flying them all the way back to the USA. Soon these multi-crew junk aircraft began to fall from the sky. The same sobriquet has now been earned by the IAF’s MiG-21s.
Look back as you rush ahead
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US PRESIDENTIAL CAMPAIGN THAT great historian, journalist and chronicler of American presidential elections through his “Making of the President...” series, Theodore H. White, would have shuddered at the thought of covering and then chronicling the 2000 AD presidential polls. Had he been alive and commissioned to cover the election, he would have shrunk off, preferring to write about the world series in baseball. White, who chronicled the great personality battle between John F Kennedy and Richard Nixon (1960) and the ideological clash between Lyndon Johnson and Barry Goldwater (1964) would not have taken kindly to the lacklustre, bruising campaign coming up during the next four months. It is devoid of issues and revolves around personalities who matched each other in dullness and lack of vision. As I write this, the Republican party in Philadelphia convention is over, after spending nearly $ 63 million and endorsing the George Bush (Jr)-Dick Cheney ticket. The Democratic Party convention at Los Angeles will cost an estimated $ 50 million. Vice-President Al Gore, who is the party candidate for the White House, made the surprise choice of conservative Jewish Senator, Joseph Lieberman as his running mate. The Bush endorsement coincided with the lethal injection deaths of two convicts in Texas. Both had confessed to killings, but one of them was presumed to be mentally retarded. Their mercy petitions were rejected by the State Governor, Mr George Bush (Jr), because such an act would sully his image as “toughic” on law and order issues. Mr Lieberman’s nomination as the vice-president candidate resulted in joy among Zionist hawks in the USA and warmly welcomed by the Israeli government as well as the national opposition. There was not much talk about any further progress in the West Asian peace talks, though. Several hours of the Philadelphia party convention was telecast live by the CNN network and reflected the changes in American politics. Over the years, people had become aware of the deteriorating quality among international politicians and nowhere was this demonstrated better than in America. The Kennedys, Nixons, Humphreys, Johnsons and Carters did have major faults, but they did have a vision of the world, several new ideas and something to offer to the USA and the rest of the world. They could at least talk of the “Brave New world” or the “Great Society”. Can anyone among the present crop of American leaders think of a concept similar to that of Kennedy’s “Peace Corps”? I doubt very much. Despite a booming economy, unprecedented wealth and its emergence of the only super power in the world, the quality of American politicians has gone down steadily. Mr Bill Clinton, who will lay down office in January, 2001, did have a vision, but was rendered helpless by his tainted moral character. The Monica Lewinsky affair left an indelible black mark on his character which would continue to haunt him for the rest of his life. As former President George Bush once mentioned, “Being attacked on character by Mr Bill Clinton is like being called ugly by a frog. No one should worry about it.” As the Republican convention ended and the Democratic gala was about to begin, one had a clear view of the issues for the 2000 campaign. Morality, character, strengthening of the American defence, a definite leaning to the right, tougher laws on the crime front, a more conservative moral code and ways and means to establish the US hegemony throughout the world. The new US President, backed by the Senate and Congress, will try his level best to control the United Nations, and international agencies like the World Bank and the IMF. The message from Philadelphia was clear, the world must accept the USA as a supreme power and woe to those who dared to challenge the same! Why should the USA be rather diffident on this issue? Ever since the collapse of international communism and the levelling of the Berlin wall in the early 1990’s, the USA has become the only super power in the world. Russia, beleaguered by economic problems, secession issues and the whims of an alcoholic president, Mr Boris Yeltsin, watched helplessly as it abandoned its stellar positions in many fields and war reduced to go around with a begging bowl to the Western powers. The USA saw to it that Russia grovelled to the West for economic aid. Russia had no say in international affairs, it watched helplessly the bullying of Iraq, the expansion of NATO powers almost to the Russian borders. And yet the Republican leadership was not satisfied. One of the key issues in the forthcoming poll will be the multi-billion dollar new missile system meant to “protect” the USA! Protect America from which hostile nation? The Bush campaign will focus on the Clinton administration’s failure to go ahead with the new missile system, which, in today’s world, was of no relevance. The Americans were very much in control of this world and the skies. Why do they need such an expensive missile cover? But the Republican hawks were determined to highlight how Mr Clinton “weakened” America’s defence system. The best way to do this was to elevate Mr Dick Cheney as Mr Bush’s running mate in the campaign. After all, he was former President George Bush’s Secretary of Defence and handled the Gulf War which brought Iraqi President Saddam Hussein to his knees. The tone of the convention made it clear that more such “hawks” will be inducted to campaign for the Republican party candidates. Arrogance of power is typical of American society, and it bursts forth during every presidential campaign. Cuba and, of late, Iraq had continued to bug American leadership and the Bush-Cheney ticket may get support if it promises to drop nuclear bombs on these two rebel nations which had dared to defy the USA. To certain sections of the Republican party, China was still the “enemy”, but this was not shared by the big business lobby in the party which looked hungrily at the huge Chinese market. The philosophy of the Republican convention was clear. Toe the US line or get punished. The USA with the help of toadies like the UK could instigate hot wars, or starve the “enemy” to submission through economic blockade. The Gore-Lieberman duo will have to come out with something new to combat charges of being “soft” on the enemies of the USA. A couple of bombing raids over Iraq and the downing of Iraqi military aircraft may come in handy for the ruling Democrats. Such tough guy postures have a role to play in local issues too. Mr George Bush (Jr) had been a champion of the National Rifle Association and had apparently not been moved by the number of gun-shot deaths in the nation instigated by youngsters. Every shooting spree in schools and colleges remained short in public memory. Americans were buying more and more guns and the Democrats will have to go easy on the issue. How can the gun-wielding macho American be deprived of his favourite defence weapon? If the school boys and other youngsters killed themselves using guns, that is their misfortune. The gun was only an instrument, the guilty person was the one who used it wrongly. On the wrong persons at the wrong times. Even for a country which has made tremendous advances in science and technology, the USA, particularly during the presidential polls, debates religion. School prayers figured prominently during the past elections. Here, too, the Republican party had adopted a strong pro-religious trend, but it could have met its match in the selection of Sen. Lieberman. An orthodox Jew, he is seen as a serious moral force in the USA. At 58, he observed the rigid dietary rules of Judaism. On Sabbath days, he did not travel, work, indulge in political activity or even use electricity! Such an attitude was all right for a US Senator, but how can he handle tricky international issues as Vice-President? But the choice of Mr Lieberman has been greatly welcomed by the ultra-conservative rabbis in Israel. In fact, as the poll approached, everyone involved in the campaign is trying to outdo others in the issue of religion. Vice-President Al Gore revealed that he was a born-again Christian, who often asked himself the question, “What would Jesus do in such a time?’ To play the “God Card”, Mr Gore had to choose someone like Mr Lieberman, who mentioned God 13 times in 90 seconds at a Nashville speech. What a contrast to the 1960 campaign when Catholic candidate Kennedy kept religion out of politics. It was only the diehard Republicans who chose to debate the issue, while Kennedy came out with a series of jokes on his faith, without offending anyone, but defusing any kind of tension. Well, Mr Al Gore is no Kennedy, that is for sure. But the US presidential campaign, 2000 AD, may be a shot in the arm for our own Sangh Parivar people! If the US leaders can talk of religion in their campaign, why can’t we? |
Why do MiGs continue to crash? IN the fifties the IAF first earned the dubious distinction of flying “coffins”. It had resurrected some aircraft for its use from the junkyard of B-29 bombers left behind by the Americans after the war, instead of flying them all the way back to the USA. Soon these multi-crew junk aircraft began to fall from the sky. The same sobriquet has now been earned by the IAF’s MiG-21s. No air force stretches the life of its aircraft to the extent that they begin to tell on the lives of the pilots who fly them. Only a few days back, a promising young pilot lost his life in a MiG-21 crash at Palam airport. Every MiG-21 crash raises the hackles, but soon the calm prevails and nothing changes. It is shocking to learn that during the decade 1989-99, a total of 124 major accidents involving MiG-21 variants took place in which 95 were written off altogether. In the past three years, 55 of these aircraft have been lost, killing 22 pilots. The toll keeps on rising without a break. In the past four months, seven MiGs have crashed. Does somebody care for this carnage? The issue is not whether it was a case of a bird-hit or an engine flame-out or the aircraft catching fire on take-off. There has to be a cause to an accident. The question is: why are the MiGs crashing? The fact of the matter is that the MiGs are too old and too tired to continue to fly safely. Being at the fag-end of their total technical life (TTL), their airworthiness is in doubt. The senior commanders have an unenviable task of keeping these aircraft in the air and simultaneously keeping the morale of their pilots intact. The IAF flies three different versions of MiGs. MiG-21 FL, the oldest, entered the service in 1963. It has logged lakhs of hours by now. It is one of the most difficult aircraft to land in the world perhaps. And we are using it for the phase-III training of our pilots. The IAF is forced to employ this aircraft for the training role in the absence of a proper advance jet trainer. MiG-21M/MF entered the service in 1974 and the last of the series, MiG-21 BIS in 1977 or so. All these versions are generations behind in technology. But the IAF is stuck with a large contingent of MiG-21 BIS which, under the circumstances, it can ill-afford to discard. Inability to replace them with indigenous or imported state-of-the-art aircraft led the IAF to seek the upgradation of MiG-21 BIS. A contract was signed with MiG-MAPO (Russians) for the upgradation of 125 of these aircraft at a total cost of Rs 1200 crore. After four years, the Russians are still struggling with it. It is understood that the task may not be completed before December, 2003. Meanwhile, accidents involving MiG-21s continue to take place. Of the 28 aircraft lost in 1999, 14 were MiG-21s. Nothing underscores more the need for early completion of upgradation programme. Interestingly, the Israelis have already demonstrated their capability to upgrade this fighter plane. Accidents are inherent in fighter flying but within acceptable limits. These can occur due to inadequate training, inexperience, misjudgement, inadequate technical supervision or improper technical practices. But what is most unacceptable is the factor of the aircraft being aged and the lack of product support. With age, the aircraft system’s reliability goes down. And lack of spares results in a technical malpractice called cannibalisation. That is to remove a functional component from a grounded aircraft and fit it on to another to make it airworthy. It’s a tedious and potentially hazardous practice. Because of its time-consuming and repetitive nature, technicians dislike it. Ageing and lack of spares are the two primary causes of the ever-increasing MiG-21 accidents. Indian pilots are recognised among the finest in the world. If human material was the problem, how is it that we have had only three Mirage-2000 crashes during the last 16 years of their flying. The IAF’s record on other modern aircraft is equally good. Long-term re-equipment plans (LTREP) drawn by the Air Force to keep the technology levels current and meet the threat requirements remain an exercise in futility. The government’s apathy to the IAF’s requirements is outrageous, to say the least. In fact, everything depends upon the politico-bureaucratic benevolence. The DRDO too has failed the IAF. The LCA was scheduled to replace MiG-21s in the eighties. It may take another half a decade before it can enter the service. It is singularly responsible for upsetting the IAF’s LTREPs and the decision to upgrade the MiG-21s of the seventies’ vintage. All these problems result in ad hoc procurements. Young pilots are more prone to accidents due to lack of experience. Old aircraft like the MiGs only add to their woes. A recent study has revealed that 69 per cent of human error accidents involve pilots in the age group of 20 to 27 years. 15 per cent in 27 to 30 years and 9 per cent in 30 to 35 years. Aircraft are no doubt expensive, costing in the region of Rs 100 crore to Rs 200 crore a piece, but these are all the same replaceable. Human loss is irreplaceable. It too costs crores in training pilots. The government institutes committees when it does not want to take a decision or want to stall a commitment. Then, at best, it implements some of the recommendations and ignores the rest. The La Fontain Committee, constituted in 1984, came out with a number of recommendations, including the procurement of AJTs. Then came the Abdul Kalam Committee in September, 1997, which too gave many important recommendations, including the reorganisation of infrastructure, redesigning of the training pattern and the requirement of keeping the IAF at the current level of technology. It’s not enough to say that 55 of the 84 recommendations have been implemented when more important 29 are still in the boiling pot. The AJT was projected in 1984. The Cabinet Committee took the decision to procure it after nine years in 1993. The snail pace decision-making only reflects the government’s lackadaisical approach and apathy to the IAF’s woes. The MiG toll is rising by the day. Let our pilots not be the victim of the “who next syndrome”. The government must act fast to save innocent lives and the big loss to the exchequer. But who cares? The writer, a retired Air Marshal, is a former Director-General, Defence Planning Staff, Union Ministry of Defence. |
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