E D I T O R I A L P A G E |
Wednesday, April 28, 1999 |
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Accountability
first LOK SABHAS DISSOLUTION |
Punish
the killers, a widow wails Ownerable
shirts
Assam Legislature |
Accountability first THE motivations may have been different but members of the Lok Sabha this time were as keen as the other citizens of the country to avoid mid-term elections. Despite the wishes being in step, the collective desire has not been fulfilled. Personal agendas of some puny leaders have proved to be more important than the good of India and the country has been saddled with yet another election. What has been done cannot be undone. It is now the responsibility of the leaders and the citizens alike to ensure that the sorry spectacle is not re-enacted. The trouble is that there is no guarantee that the next election will not throw up as fractured a mandate as the previous one did. There is just a vague hope that the disgust over the antics of the single-member and single-digit parties will be strong enough to goad the electorate to throw these irresponsible persons on the garbage heap of history. But the way even the national parties have conducted themselves during the past fortnight and more, one cannot cling to that hope too strongly. The coalition era is upon us and it is futile to fondly reminisce about the times when two or three parties dominated the national scene. The question arises: what if the 13th Lok Sabha is as badly divided as the 12th one was? That will make the entire poll exercise a futility. If at all there can be a
safeguard, it is in terms of the voters demanding that
whatever holy or otherwise alliances are to be forged,
these should be in place before the elections. The
permutations and combinations emerging after the
elections reek of rank opportunism. That does not mean
that the coming together of the parties before the
elections will be in any way in keeping with some high
principles, but at least the voters will know for whom
they are voting and on what issues. Nor will these
alliances be any surety against a party later walking
into the opposing camp. But at least the atmosphere of a
mandi witnessed after the Vajpayee government was pulled
down will be avoided. Ours is a detailed and written
Constitution. But the Founding Fathers could have never
comprehended that a situation will arise where the fate
of a government will depend on the vote of an MP who has
already been appointed the Chief Minister of a State. Now
that politics has plumbed unforeseen depths, there is
need for evolving such healthy conventions that no party
practises what is constitutionally not prohibited but is
morally wrong. At a later stage, there is also need for
taking a fresh look at the efficacy of the anti-defection
laws keeping in view the tendency of some parties to put
their block of MPs on sale not in retail but in the
wholesale market. The Constitution has been amended
earlier in response to the developing situations and
there is no reason why it should not be proofed against
the deeds of the people whose conscience is not the
pricking type. Similarly, there is justification in the
demand that the laws should be so amended that the Lok
Sabha enjoys its full term of five years, even if some
small leaders with big egos are bent upon blinding
themselves in one eye to gouge out both eyes of a rival.
The nation has been held to ransom by these buccaneers
for far too long. The august House can do with return to
value-based politics instead of price-based auctions. |
Oil embargo fuels tension NATOs attempt to impose a total oil embargo on Yugoslavia has the potential to rupture its tenuous relations with Russia. It is one thing for member countries like Greece to cut off crude supplies to Yugoslavia but quite another to enforce undeclared sanctions. Russia meets a major part of the oil demand and it will never agree to join NATO in this hare-brained plan. Any attempt by NATO to block the unloading of crude and petrol in the only Yugoslavian port in Montenegro will trigger unbearable tension in the Balkans. Russia which has resisted loud demands by hawks to do much more than extend moral support to fellow Slavs, has activated the diplomatic channel to defuse the situation. So alarmed is Russia at the prospect of getting sucked into the conflict that President Boris Yeltsin rang up President Clinton and cranked up the rusty consultation machinery. Mr Strobe Talbott is flying to Moscow to resume the disrupted negotiations with Mr Viktor Chernomyrdin, Russias pointsman on the Kosovo issue. Mr Talbott is an old Russian hand and Mr Chernomyrdin is a tough negotiator. The oil embargo move reflects the growing frustration of NATO at the surprisingly stiff resistance of President Slobodan Milosevic. During the past five weeks of campaign NATO has conducted more than 30,000 sorties and has destroyed oil refineries and storage facilities in the name of crippling the military machine of Serbia. It flattened the main television centre, claiming that it was spewing out false news. Even the residence of President Milosevic was bombed, suspecting it to be an important command centre. Now there is the distinct possibility of NATO running out of credible targets, and hence the oil embargo and the incessant talk of a ground attack. Last week, NATO Secretary General Salona talked of asking commanders to update the war plans, which included sending in troops. During the 50th anniversary celebrations of NATO in Washington, British Prime Minister Tony Blair sought a consensus on extending the war, although his Foreign Minister promptly played it down for fear of adverse public reaction at home. In fact, there is considerable opposition to the NATO war against Yugoslovia after bypassing the UN. NATO has been charging
President Milosevic of destabilising his neighbours.
Actually the war has already imposed great burden on two
of the neighbours Albania and Macedonia. More than
40 per cent of the two million-strong Kosovars have fled
to these countries as refugees. Most of them live in
tents or more likely under the open sky. Not many carry
travel documents and hence bringing them back home later
is going to be a problem. NATO has not fought a war
before and its lack of experience shows in the way it has
started one in Kosovo without a plan to end it. If
President Milosevic holds out and he seems to
getting ready to dig in the alliance will have a
big problem. The talk of a ground attack seems to be a
bluff, at least for the present. The hilly terrain should
make that option unattractive. Air attack has
limitations. Now there is the biggest threat to
politicians: even TV channels are losing interest in the
Kosovo war. |
Ntini fails black Africa THE conviction of Makhaya Ntini for having raped a young woman has understandably sent a wave of shock and disbelief among the black communities in South Africa. The talented medium fast bowler would have been the first black cricketer to represent the country, after the lifting of apartheid, at the World Cup in England next month. The United Cricket Board promptly dropped him from the team although he intends to file an appeal against his conviction. Of course, Paul Adams and Herschelle Gibbs are the first non-whites to play cricket for South Africa. However, a dash of colour is not the same thing as having a genuine son of the soil represent his country in any discipline. There are those who may argue that the hearing of the case should have been delayed until after the World Cup or Ntini should not have been dropped from the team on the basis of the verdict of the trial court. However, a careful reading of the Ntini episode would show that South Africa under President Nelson Mandela does not seek to confer special privileges on the basis of ones colour. He does not want South Africa to carry forward the baggage of racial hatred and vendetta of the despicable apartheid era. The Truth and Reconciliation Commission was set up to help the people get the poison of racial hurt out of their system. Mr Mandela could well have opted for a reservation policy in which the blacks could have been granted special privileges like immunity from conviction for rape to help them get over the handicap of centuries of repression by the white rulers. That would have resulted in reverse apartheid. The Ntini verdict is a
reaffirmation of the principle that all are equal in the
eyes of the law. Adherence to the doctrine of equal
opportunities, irrespective of ones caste, colour
or creed, should serve South Africa in good stead and
help it emerge as a mature and stable country. What bodes
well for the country with a mixed population is the
mature response of the victim, who too is a black. She
claimed that Ntini had offered her, through an
intermediary, a handsome amount of about Rs 7 lakh for
withdrawing the charge. She told a newspaper that
at first I felt reporting the rape was a mistake.
It felt like everyone hated me, blaming me for ruining
Ntinis life...he has been found guilty ...I am glad
I had the courage to stand up for my rights. It is
indeed unfortunate that a promising career may have been
cut short because of the trial courts verdict.
However, it must be understood that a robust system can
throw up a thousand Ntinis in any discipline. Had the
court set him free, in spite of the evidence against him
it would have been a case of one Ntini killing the
system. On current form South Africa is still the best
team in international cricket. If Hansie Cronje is able
to lift the World Cup, it would be a case of a
pre-dominantly white team making a pre-dominantly black
South Africa proud of the achievements of its cricketers.
It would also be a case of the coloured nations winning
six of the seven World Cups. The only time an all-white
team won the trophy was in 1987 when Australia beat
England in an all-white final in Calcutta. |
LOK SABHAS DISSOLUTION WITH the dissolution of the Lok Sabha and the decision to hold fresh elections as soon as possible, only the inevitable has happened. This will be readily accepted except by those whose partisan passions cloud their judgement. For, it has been said before and it bears repetition that the arithmetic of the 12th Lok Sabha, combined with the perverse political culture that has developed in the country, just could not sustain a stable government. In any case, the fractious ruling coalition, led by Mr Atal Behari Vajpayee, had lost its majority, though by the narrowest possible margin of a solitary vote. To this poignant fact a sharper edge has been lent by the failure of the rival, secular camp to form an alternative government even though, in its belief, Mr Laloo Prasad Yadav had boasted on the floor of the House that once the BJP had exited, a new government would be set up within five minutes. These have turned out to be the longest five minutes in history as also rather ludicrous. But, then, as painstaking researchers have already underscored, momentous decisions have been taken, in old, established democracies by a single-vote majority. These included, for example, the beheading in Britain of King Charles after a bitterly fought 58-to-57 vote in the British Parliament. Any number of American Presidents have been elected by a single-vote majority in the electoral college, in one revealing case after 27 rounds of balloting. However, that apart, lets look at the messy situation in another way. Suppose instead of failing by a solitary vote, the BJP-led government had survived. Nobody doubts that it could have done so only by one vote or at the most by two. After what redoubtable Ms Jayalalitha had done, how much longevity would have been added to the existence of the ruling combination that has now become caretaker? Alternatively, assuming that the Congress had succeeded in forming a minority government or allowed the so-called and utterly shadowy Third Front to assume power under the leadership of Mr Jyoti Basu, how long would the precarious new arrangement have endured? Fresh elections were thus unavoidable. Isnt it better than they be held sooner rather than later? Doubtless, elections are costly and if held too frequently rather than weary. But shouldnt the Indian voter, consistently praised as shrewd and even wise, share some of the responsibility for the present state of affairs with wayward and self-serving politicians of all hues? An electorate that had the sense and discrimination to throw out Indira Gandhi after the Emergency and bring her back less than three years later because the succeeding regime turned out to be worse than a gaggle of squabbling and ineffectual geese is expected to realise the perils of giving a hopelessly fractured verdict time and again. And this brings me back to the utterly unmanageable numbers game in the Lok Sabha that has been deservedly dissolved. The BJP had slightly less than a third of the total number of seats. It therefore needed at least a hundred MPs as its allies to form a government that could be even remotely viable. In order to muster them even the support of 16 parties was not enough because the majority it thus obtained was wafer thin. More striking was the fact that the next largest constituent of the ruling coalition, the AIADMK, had a total of 18 members or one-tenth of the BJPs strength in the House. And yet, so fragile was the rag-tag combination that Ms Jayalalitha, with 18 extraordinarily loyal supporters, had little difficulty in pulling the rug from under the BJPs feet. Ironically, she did so for crassly personal reasons. But here again, while she kept the Prime Minister and his government on edge all through the 13 months that the government lasted, Mr Vajpayee and his colleagues had bent over backwards to placate and appease her. In the process they had bent the rules and compromised themselves in a manner that should have shamed them. Instead, they have suddenly discovered that the temperamental lady from Chennai was the mother of corruption. Were Mr Vajpayee and Mr L.K. Advani unaware of all these when, before the previous elections, they travelled to Chennai to pay court to her, forge an alliance with her that enabled them to breach the barrier of the Vindhyas and hailed her as the launcher of the southern wave? Sordid though all this may be, it is not the worst part of the story. The more worrying reality is that there were no fewer than 39 parties in the dissolved Lok Sabha. Nearly a dozen of them were single-member or single-digit parties. Given the roughly equal numbers on both sides and the highly inflamed polarisation, each individual MP, leave alone a group of three, had acquired dangerously disproportionate clout. The situation on the other side of the divide, as has been demonstrated so vividly, was hardly better. If Ms Jayalalitha, with 18 members, could engineer the fall of the BJP government, Mr Mulayam Singh Yadav, with 20 MPs behind him, blew to smithereens the Congress plans. The motives, both hers and his, were largely personal and parochial, aggravated by pique. This melancholy matter is of some importance because implacable personal hatreds are unlikely to disappear before the various combinations and permutations for the coming poll are attempted. The DMK will not touch even with a barge pole any grouping with which Ms Jayalalitha is associated. For Mr Mulayam Singh Yadav any truck with the Congress he asked his Muslim general secretary to declare to the wide world that in the department of communalism both the BJP and the Congress were two sides of the same coin even though for this he has been upbraided by not only the Left but also his pal, Mr Laloo Prasad Yadav. For Mr Ram Vilas Paswan, one of the six Janata Dal MPs, any political combination on which falls the shadow of Lalooji is untouchable. And so on. The Congress and its leader, Mrs Sonia Gandhi, have doubtless lost some shine during the unhappy drama staged in Delhi over the last fortnight. It is particularly surprising that Mrs Gandhi, who had shown herself to be a mature and moderate leader, suddenly adopted a different course and appears to be in a hurry to become Prime Minister. She even laid down her terms without showing potential allies the courtesy of consulting them. Above all, she allowed herself to make, from the forecourt of Rashtrapati Bhawan, claims which later turned out to be hollow. For this, as usually happens in such circumstances in the Congress, her advisers are being roundly blamed. Differences among Congress leaders, unexpressed earlier, have come to the surface. Mr Arjun Singh is the main target of the ire and the fire of angry Congressmen. The Economist has quoted one of them to the effect that Mrs Gandhi was misled by 68-year-olds with heart bypasses. Altogether, therefore,
the BJP has good reasons to be happy. There is a
discernible sympathy wave in favour of Mr Vajpayee; more
than that in favour of his party. The BJP continues to be
in office until the last votes are counted. It could
build on this promising foundation. But true to its
petulant nature the saffron party has embarked on a
vicious campaign of vilification against the President.
On a different plane, it has started attacking Mrs Sonia
Gandhi, because of her foreign origin, in terms and tones
that are in very poor taste. Both these exercises could
prove counter-productive. |
Environment: an illogical approach THE environment of the world is threatened due to the increasing population in the developing countries as well as rising consumption levels in the industrial countries. Therefore, when Western NGOs like World Watch argue for population control without simultaneously asking for a reduction of consumption in their own countries it rings a hollow bell. More so because the population problem in the developing countries is itself, partly at least, result of their exploitation by industrial countries. Thus, if the likes of World Watch are serious about the earths environment, then the first thing they must do is to argue against the transfer of resources from the developing to the developed countries. By shying away from doing so they become self-defeating. The continued exploitation of the developing countries results in poverty and an increase in population and environmental degradation. In its recent publication Beyond Malthus, World Watch has asked the developing countries to control their population as they simply do not have the resources to feed them. But it has to be left to the sovereign choice of each country as to how many human beings they wish to support. It is for India to decide whether it would like 1 billion people at per capita income of $ 400, or 2 billion at $ 200. World Watch has no locus standi here as long as both alternatives are sustainable. If the USA wants more lion safaris and less human habitations, and India more villages than reserved parks, it is their own choice. Those countries which do not exercise this choice diligently and increase their population beyond what their natural resources can sustain would be punished ruthlessly by mother nature. Thus if Zimbabwe is set to lose about 25 per cent of its adult population to AIDS, then they alone are to blame. A free world would most likely be composed of nations which have exercised this choice differently. Zimbabwe may choose to have large numbers some of which may die. India may have large numbers at lower incomes. The USA may have a few at a high income level. We will have to learn to live with this diversity. The diversity also implies that governance will break down in some cases. There is little possibility of securing good governance among all the 200-odd countries that exist today. There will certainly be some Zimbabwes. The USA or, for that matter, the UN cannot force its opinion upon any country. Therefore, there is no alternative but to bear through the adverse effects of one countrys action on the environment of others. It is important to remember though that it is not that Zimbabwe alone hurts the earth. Those like the USA hurt the environment as much, if not more, by their ever-increasing consumption. Just as Zimbabwe has to live with the global warming brought about by heavy fossil fuel consumption of the USA so also the USA has to live with the land degradation brought about by Zimbabwe. Of course, the USA may plead with Zimbabwe to limit its population so that the US environment is not disturbed. They may work out a mutually acceptable arrangement by which the USA may pay to Zimbabwe money for limiting the latters population. If the USA saves $ 100 by planting forests in Africa, then let it share, say $ 50 with Zimbabwe. But it has to be a business contract between sovereign nations. Such an arrangement presumes a world free of exploitation. The USA cannot first enter Zimbabwe, take out its timber and minerals, create poverty, and then ask it to limit its population in its own self-interest and not even pay for doing so. Alas that is what the industrial countries seek and NGOs like World Watch become their instruments for achieving this. It is well known that the industrial countries consume most of the worlds energy, material resources and oceanic catch, and spit out most of its carbon dioxide. These resources are sucked out of the developing countries through various unfair means shrouded though they are under a veil of market compulsions. Thus Zimbabwe sells its copper cheap to the USA and buys electric cables dear. This transfer of resources makes Zimbabwe poor. And that encourages Zimbabwians to beget more children as an insurance against poverty. It is, therefore, the poverty wrought upon the developing countries which is, in part at least, responsible for their population explosion. The West, which is crying hoarse about the threat to the earths environment, has built its present wealth through the exploitation of the colonies, of the slaves, by trade cartels (remember the banana republics of Central America) and, more recently, by IMF austerity programmes (the East Asian crisis, for example). It is to that extent responsible for the poverty and population explosion in the developing world. Now that we live on one
earth, it is natural for the industrial countries to be
concerned about the deterioration of their environment
due to population explosion in the Third World. The least
they could do is to stop imposing austerity
programmes and macroeconomic
stabilisation |
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