New Delhi, May 24
When veteran CPM leader Harkishen Singh Surjeet today asked Congress President Sonia Gandhi to ensure there was no division of votes among secular parties in the next Bihar Assembly elections, he could well be asking her to achieve the impossible given the bitter relations between RJD chief Lalu Prasad Yadav and LJP leader Ram Vilas Paswan.
Mr Surjeet conveyed his views to Ms Gandhi when she called on the ailing Marxist leader to enquire about his health. Mr Surjeet told Ms Gandhi that a split in the votes among secular parties in the last Assembly elections in Bihar had benefited “communal forces”. This, he said, should be avoided.
Although Mr Yadav and Mr Paswan are being urged by the UPA partners to bury the hatchet, it appears highly unlikely. “These two leaders have become Bihar’s Mulayam Singh Yadav and Mayawati who can never see eye to eye ,” remarked a senior AICC functionary.
It is also becoming increasingly clear that Mr Paswan is going to come under increasing pressure from the Left parties in the coming days to prove his secular credentials. This was evident from CPM leader Sitaram Yechury’s comment today that Mr Paswan has to decide where he stands.
“At the Centre, Mr Paswan is with the UPA but in Bihar, a situation has arisen when communal forces were about to form a government with the help of LJP MLAs,” he added.
With the Left parties firmly backing Mr Yadav, the Congress, too, has no choice but to do the same, given the UPA’s critical
dependence on both the RJD and the Left Front. The Congress will be hard put to have the kind of alliance which it had in the last Assembly election. It has learnt the hard way that the Congress graph has not improved in Bihar and that it has to depend on the RJD to bail it out. Its earlier decision to have a partial alliance with the RJD and the LJP backfired as the division in the secular camp eventually helped the NDA improve its tally.
However, many Congressmen are not happy with the latest turn of events as they believe that it will be difficult for the party to explain why it had changed its stance vis-a-vis Mr Yadav since it contested against the RJD in 80 Assembly seats in the last election. “If the electorate was confused by our stand last time when we fought the RJD in some seats and supported it in others, our decision to support the RJD this time will only add to the confusion,” remarked an AICC leader.
Congress leaders are already discussing the impact this will have on the upper caste vote which was divided in the last election but could well consolidate in favour of the NDA. It was pointed out that if the RJD is able to consolidate its Muslim-Yadav support base, which had seen some erosion in the earlier election, there will be little hope for the Congress party’s revival in Bihar.