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By Ashok
Kumar
Q: Please
comment on the long term prospects of Reliance
Industries?
Parminder Bhatti, Jalandhar
Ans: The
largest manufacturer of synthetic blended fibres
(PSF/PFGY), intermediates (PTA/MEG/PX), plastics and
polymers in India, Reliance Industries has become a truly
global sized company that gives it the much required
leverage and pull. During 1997-98, the company
successfully commissioned a new 2 lakh tpa polyethylene
plant, a new 1.2 lakh tpa MEG plant, a 30,000 tpa FF
plant and a new 2.5 lakh tpa PTA plant. In addition, the
capacity of the multifeed cracker was increased from 5
lakh tpa to 7.5 lakh tpa of ethylene. In fact, over the
past 2-3 years, the company has reportedly commissioned
17 new world class facilities with different
technologies. At present, it is concentrating most of its
efforts in building two world scale plants at the site of
its Jamnagar refinery at a cost of Rs 5,000 crore. Upon
the completion of the project, the company is expected to
emerge as one of the top five PP manufacturers in the
world and also the worlds second largest producer
of paraxylene. In effect, its Jamnagar complex will be
the first world scale manufacturing complex to have a
fully integrated petroleum refinery, petrochemicals
complex, power plant and a port with related
infrastructure. RILs PET has received approval from
US Food and Drug Administration and EEC authorities
resulting in enhanced export potential. However,
considering the fact that 81 per cent of the market for
fibre intermediates like purified Terephthalic Acid and
Mono-Ethylene Glycol is controlled by RILs domestic
demand will solely depend upon growth in the polyester
business. It is also likely to create pressure on prices
and will impact margins. There remains an excess supply
over demand for fibre intermediates and is likely to
continue for another two years. RIL has already incurred
a capital expenditure of over Rs 700 crore in the Q1
98-99. This would reduce outgo on taxation as
depreciation available under the Income Tax Act would
increase, substantially. Besides, the company has
revalued its plant and machinery located at Patalganga
and Naroda resulting in an appreciation of Rs 2771 crore.
This will also help in significantly reducing Minimum
Alternate Tax (MAT) liability. The company has also not
provided any amount for its MAT liability. Overall, the
prospects of this company seem satisfactory, albeit
unexceptional.
Q: Please
comment on the future prospects of Pidilite Industries
Ltd?
Pragya Jain, Solan
Ans:
Pidilite Industries has strong brands which command a
premium in the market. The company has 40 established
brands and over 400 varied products including the well
known brand Fevicol. Its other brands include Fevicryl,
Fevikwik, Fevibond, Fevitite, PV Seal, Pidivyl etc. The
company enjoys market leadership in the adhesive products
segment with a 60 per cent market share. The company
would generate sizable cash flows which would be used
torepay out-standing debt since no major capital
expenditure is budgeted for the next couple of years. The
company stands to benefit from the thrust given to the
housing sector in the 98-99 budget. The market for
premium construction chemicals, which the company created
a couple of years back, is expected to clock high growth.
Products in this segment include integral cement water
proofing compound Pidiproof and tile fixing
adhesive Fevimate. The companys sales can be
broadly divided into three divisions. The adhesive
division, under the flagship brand name Fevicol, accounts
for 54 per cent of sale, industrial products which
include dyes, pigments and synthetic resind account for
25.5 per cent of sale. Consumer products like colours,
gum and maintenance sprays account for another 12 per
cent of sales. Of the remaining, exports account for 7.5
per cent and agency division 1 per cent of sales. After
growing at a rate of over 25 per cent, sales growth
slackened to 11 per cent over the last two years. This
can be attributed largely to a fall in growth rates of
the industrial segment, in line with the fall in growth
rates of its user industries. Major customers for the
industrial division include the packaging, paint,
printing ink, plastic and textiles manufacturers. On the
whole thus, this companys future prospects appears
to be quite bright.
Q: Kindly
comment on the overall outlook for Wartsila NSD India
Ltd?
Manmeet Sodhi, Nalagarh
Ans:
Wartsila Diesel Indian Ltd (WDIL) is the leader in the
domestic medium-speed diesel engine segment with a market
share of 70 per cent. It benefits from the technological
support of its parent, Wartsila Oy, Finland, which has a
global market share of 22 per cent diesel and gas engines
of above 1 MW output. WDIL imports components from the
parent company and assembles diesel engine sets with a
capacity of less than 6 MW output at its plant in
Khopoli, Mumbai. It earns a commission on sales of its
parents engines in the Indian market. The company
has been appointed the civil contractor for four IPPs
with a combined generation capacity of over 400 MW to be
delivered by Wartsila NSD Oy, Finland. By the end of the
financial year 1998-99, an output of 558 MW could be
added to the installed base driving up the cumulative
deliveries to 1854 MW. The company earns a commission in
the range of Rs 4.5 lakh per MW on imported engines.
Wartsila NSD has a 70 per cent share of the medium speed
diesel engine market in the country. The competition in
this segment has been restricted to mainly two other
players, MAN of Germany and Mireless of UK. The
government, in its budget for 98-99, has laid
considerable stress on investments in the power sector.
The budgeted investment in the power sector has been
raised to Rs 9950 crore in 98-99 from Rs 8188 crore
the year before. The government is also trying to speed
up private sector investment for capacity addition in the
power sector through IPPs. Towards this, end, the
government has announced a new liquid fuel policy which
has kept all liquid fuels excluding naphtha outside the
purview of the 12,000 MW cap imposed earlier. Yet, the
overall outlook for this company appears to be positive.
Q: Should
I hold or sell the shares of ONGC?
Anjali Puri, Chandigarh
Ans: The
biggest producer of oil and natural gas in India, Oil and
Natural Gas Corporation (ONGC) is recognised as one of
the top 20 oil companies in the world. However, of late,
the company has not been performing up to expectations.
The company has undertaken a major restructuring
programme so that the company can consolidate its
leadership position in the exploration and production
segment. The programme is expected to go on for a year
and a half. The company targets deep sea drilling, 3-D
seismic survey, coal-bed methane, paraxylene and gas
hydrates as potential growth activities. The company is
likely to benefit most from the removal of the
Administered Price Mechanism (APM). Considering that ONGC
accounts for 90 per cent of the production of oil and
natural gas and controlling 95 per cent of the oil and
gas reserves in the country, ONGC appears to be in an
enviable position. The future performance of the company
is likely to improve. Existing shareholders would thus do
well to hold on.
Q: Please
comment on the growth prospects of Smithkline Beecham
Healthcare?
Banty Singh, Bathinda
Ans: I
leading producer of the malted food drink, Smithkline
Beecham Consumer Healthcare Ltd (SBCHL) has under its
belt popular brands like Horlicks and Boost. The former
is a leader in the market with a share of 45 per cent
while the latter is positioned fourth behind Complan and
Bournvita with market share of 6 per cent. On the
financial front, the company has maintained a steady
track record. The company enjoys the benefit of a solid
brand equity and in view of the same, it plans to
introduce newer products and also extensions of its
existing brands. One such plan involves the introduction
of the Boost brand of biscuits. SBCHL is a dominant
player in the malted food drink market which is expected
to grow in the region of 10-13 per cent. With a view to
cash in on the same, the company is on a spending spree
on the advertising front, thus trying to consolidate its
position. Moreover, the reduction in excise duty on
malted food drink could prove beneficial to the company.
It thus appears that the company is well geared up for
excellent growth in the future.
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