B U S I N E S S | Sunday, May 16, 1999 |
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Instability
cant derail the economy
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Prem Parkash Cinema Theatre at Jaipur where the month-long World Cup cricket event would be shown on 70 mm screen. PTI
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IDBI Bank to pay 9 pc
maiden Warehouse for duty free goods soon Bank norms hit SSIs Apparel summit begins |
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Instability
cant derail the economy NEW DELHI, May 15 The Indian economy is fully insulated against the vagaries of political climate and no amount of political instability can derail the economy, an eminent economist and corporate leader, Mr K.N. Memani, says. The reason: there is a broad consensus amongst the political parties on the economic policies pursued since the advent of the liberalisation programme in 1991. Mr Memani, who became the first Indian to be inducted into the three-member External Audit Board of the International Monetary Fund (IMF), along with representatives from the United Kingdom and Argentina this year, told The Tribune here that political instability could slow down the progress of reforms but there was no threat of the economy getting derailed. Mr Memani, who is the Chairman of the Indian arm of the $10.9 billion Ernst and Young, said political fight going on the country had more to do with power sharing and personal egos and there were no major differences among the parties on the economic reforms programme as such. This was one reason that one saw the Left parties joining hands with the Congress and several other parties supporting the Bharatiya Janata Party. There were no ideological differences among the political parties on the economic policies and the political alignments had to do more with occupying the seat of power. Ever since the minority Congress Government led by Mr P.V. Narasimha Rao initiated the liberalisation programme in 1991, there has been a sea change in t he economic policies, financial business, legislation and the mindset of the people, including politicians. Despite several governments coming in power in the last 10 years, the system of governance has been conducive to economic progress and of far-reaching consequences. The intrinsic strength of the Indian economic system notwithstanding, it was unfortunate, however, that world perception about India had not changed in the same proportion. This was because the world over there was the perception that in developing economies both economic activities and politics were interlinked. The other factor that has influenced slow foreign direct investments in India, in spite of the bullish image of the country, was the lack of decisiveness in bureaucracy, lack of coordination amongst the various implementation agencies and lack of guidance from the top. Future growth has also been hit by the poor power situation in the country, lack of good transport system and lack of roads. The infrastructure sector is a victim of lack of governance and a strong Centre, Mr Memani said. The recent bout of political fight at the Centre had however, brought out the distinctive features of the system and they are: Politics and economics are getting distanced. The passage of the Budget was one example of this. There was a general feeling among the people that whatever be the political scenario, the economy should not get influenced by that. Mr Memani was of the opinion that since there was a consensus on at least 75 per cent of the economic reforms programme, the present government, even if it was a caretaker one, should continue to take important decisions to keep the economy on the growth path. However, decisions like the passage of the Insurance Regulatory Authority Bill and the Companies Bill, which were before Parliament, should be taken only after taking the House into confidence. The recent developments, after the fall of the Vajpayee government, had seen the stock markets going bullish, the economic activities taking a positive turn and the economy showing positive signs. This was indication of the fact that India has matured as a nation and its important activities were becoming independent of the political instability. Economic growth in the country, despite the Asian crisis, the post-Pokhran developments and other negative factors, was on the upswing and a GDP growth of over five per cent was matched only by a few countries. This gives a great positive image of resilience of the Indian economy, Mr Memani said. He attributed some of the current problems to the lack of demand for products commensurate with the capacities built by industry. Mr Memani said the government needs to fill this gap by generating demand and improve infrastructure with the help of investments from India and abroad. With a sound infrastructure in place, the country can aspire for a growth rate of upto seven to eight per cent per year. Regarding the export front, he said there should be an export-led growth in economy. With a large trade deficit and huge foreign debts to repay, the countrys economic growth could take a severe tail spin if we do not improve exports. There was a need to
improve infrastructure, keep currency rates comparable
with other Asian countries and reduce cost of inputs of
export goods like low rate of interest, good transport
system, and right labour policies to make the country a
leading exporter in the world. |
With continuity of policy, it doesnt matter who rules LONDON, May 15 (PTI) India has reached a stage where commitment to liberalisation is an absolute necessity and coalition politics cannot be an excuse to drag our feet, Lord Swraj Paul has said.It is customary now to condemn the working of coalition governance and talk about instability, he said, adding what is happening in India is nothing new for the world. The culture of coalition politics is evolving all over the world in France, in Italy, in Germany and even in the USA where the Executive and the Legislature are controlled by different political parties, Lord Paul, Chairman of the £650 million Caparo group of companies said. We have to understand it, get accustomed to it, and learn that if there is continuity in policy it does not matter who holds office, Paul said, while speaking at a panel discussion on Integrating India with the global economy at the London Business School recently. In fact, we have reached a state where our commitment to liberalisation is an absolute necessity, and changes in the composition of government should be no excuse for dragging our feet on implementation since the government has endorsed the overall concept, he said. What we also need is a change of culture in the business community from that of seeking government favour to standing on their own feet, said Lord Paul, who is also Britains roving business ambassador. Liberalisation was now a national consensus and whatever controversy existed was about the pace of it, not the principle. In the past decade or so, some of the most fundamental changes in global economic history had taken place and the globalised economy had become a reality. We have moved from a world of super powers to a world of super markets. This is an intensely competitive universe in which economies and industries that cannot compete are doomed to slip into economic oblivion, he warned. In India as elsewhere, we cannot divorce business from the social and economic environment in which it exists, he said and cited three developments to buttress his argument de facto devolution of economic decision-making to the States, the coming of the panchayati raj and the evolution of the culture of coalition government. Each of this will have a profound impact on business and investment. We will have to learn to live with it and, on balance, these can be positive evolutions. As Indian States become more empowered economically, they will have to compete with each other for inward investment. They will come to understand the character of competition something that politicians and bureaucrats and even many Indian businessmen have not been too familiar with in the past, he said. For the full benefits of liberal policies to unfold, and for the benefits to reach the masses, we have to move on with the process. Only then will we have the kind of competitive economy that can deliver benefits to all our people, Paul said. At the moment we have only sectoral or piecemeal liberalisation, but this is not enough and we have to push on with much greater effort, he stressed. ...And if there is one lesson modern economics has taught us everywhere, it is this governments are not very good at managing commercial enterprises. For well over a decade, countries all over the world have recognised this fact. We have to come to grips with it in India. As we do so, we have also to learn that privatisation must be genuine and broad based. If not, we will get an even worse situation where private monopolies will succeed government monopolies. This is a danger we have seen elsewhere and we have to be careful about in India, Paul cautioned. Turning to the problem of corruption, Paul said there was no use pretending that the twin evils of corruption and bureaucratisation did not exist. The answer to the
problem was simple, he said, stressing the faster
we liberalise, the faster we will reduce corruption and
bureaucracy. |
IDBI Bank
to pay 9 pc maiden CHANDIGARH, May 15 IDBI Bank Limited has declared impressive results during the year 1998-99. Its profit after tax increased by 53.42 per cent to reach Rs. 3076 crore compared with Rs 20.05 crore during the previous year. Interest income rose by 97.6 per cent and fee income by 63.8 per cent over last year a maiden dividend of 9 per cent has been recommended. Deposits for the year ended March 31. 1999 increased by 49.08 per cent to reach Rs. 2751.28 crore compared to Rs 1845.53 crore during the previous year. Savings bank deposits during this period grew nearly five times over last year. A notable feature on the
assets side has been the substantial growth in the long
substitute portfolio during the year 1998-99 to Rs 552.10
crore registering a 184.29 per cent compared to Rs.
194.20 crore the previous year. Overall, advances
including credit substitutes grew by 56.81 per cent over
the corresponding level last year. Core advances grew by
27 per cent over last year. |
Warehouse for duty free goods soon NEW DELHI, May 15 (UNI) The Department of Tourism is setting up a warehouse for duty-free goods which will cater to neighbouring countries. Director General for Tourism Ashok Pradhan said today a techno-feasibility report in this regard is under preparation in consultation with the Hamburg-based Gebr Heinamann and will be ready in a month. The warehouse will also cater to requirements of all duty-free shops at the international airports within the country as well as downtown duty-free shops, Mr Pradhan said. The Department of Tourism is also considering to stock duty-free shops with Indian handicraft items, he said while addressing delegates at a seminar on duty-free opportunities in the Indian subcontinent organised here by the Britain-based Musafir International Publications. The duty-free warehouse will be located in the national capital and start functioning by October, Mr Pradhan said. As airports across the country are corporatised, the private sector will be invited to run duty-free shops. At present, they are managed by the Indian Tourism Development Corporation (ITDC). He said the duty free trade in India is expected to rise in coming years as South-East Asia is likely to witness a boom in tourist arrivals. At present, the Indian subcontinent comprises only 0.4 per cent of world duty free sales which totalled $ 20.5 billion (about Rs 88,150 crore) last year. In Asia, according to Generation Databank, duty free sales totalled $ 4.1 billion (about Rs 17,630 crore) of which the Indian subcontinents contribution was just 2.2 per cent. The average sales per passenger at Indian duty free shops amounts to $ 1.92 compared with the world average of $ 13.37. Ms Chandini Luthra,
Vice-President of the ITDCs duty free trade
division, said India must take advantage when
Europes duty-free industry is abolished. On July 1,
the right to buy goods free of taxes and excise duties
will vanish on any trip inside the European Union. |
Bank norms
hit SSIs THE small scale industry has always been exploited by politicians. Amidst the deafening sound of lower or higher investment limit for SSI hardly any thing is audible about the bank credit availability and its cost. We cherish perverse environments whereas bigger units get every thing whereas SSI units have to remain content with empty words of sympathy. The tightened bank regulations have suffocated SSI units in Punjab. Some recent ones have virtually brought these units to their knees. Media headlines display ever declining Prime Lending Rate (PLR) but rates being charged from SSI units remain under cover. Punjab is the home of SSI units and the effect of these on the units can be fatal. It is a paradox that banks get almost double the profit in Punjab as compared to their country-level profit as bank transaction per employee is double were but borrowers are being fleeced through exorbitant interest rates. The State Bank of India and some other banks have introduced Credit Risk Assessment (CRA) for SSI units also. In this method marks are allotted for profitability apart from various other ratios. The banks do not take into account the interest/salary paid or payable to partners as a part of profit which is quite illogical. In reality these deductions are made for income tax purposes and are not withdrawn in entirety. Accordingly the profit is reduced, the unit has to pay higher interest and the hike goes up to 2.5 per cent. Profitability norm is misplaced. In these times of hard competition and long running recession bottom lines of industry have gone down. Higher interest shall lower them further to trigger a downward spiral. A recent CII survey of small scale industry has shown that profit margins of the industry have gone down. Liquidity position of any business entity is very tight. Payments hardly come in time despite firm commitments. It is but natural that the bank accounts remain over-drawn and banks have been allowing 10 per cent over-drawing. The SBI has instructed its branches to charge penal interest of 2.5 per cent on the entire outstanding if the account remains irregular. There is no sense what-so-ever in charging the penal interest and on the entire amount makes it even more illogical. The services of public sector banks are going down sharply but their service charges are going up. Banks purchase out-station cheques with heavy charges. The advice of the cleared cheques are not received for months together and demand draft limit of the account remains unvacated. Borrowers can not avail of the facility till advice is received. Thus, for all practical purposes the account becomes inoperative. As per bank norms penal interest is charged due to irregularity. Whose fault is it? Who is penalised and why? The banks and the policy makers together make industry unstable. For instance spinning industry of Ludhiana is made sick by faulty Indo-Nepal Treaty. This treaty was signed in 1991 and duty free import from Nepal was allowed, provided such import had 80 per cent indigenous content. In 1993 this content was reduced to 55 per cent. Further in 1996 the clause was removed altogether. This resulted in large-scale dumping of material through Nepal. This has made the sector sick. In the case of steel sector wrong Central Excise and Power Tariff policies and large-scale evasions in some northern states made the steel sector in Punjab sick. Banks and others blame SSI units for the mounting level of NPAs. It is a fact that major amount involved in such NPAs belong to a small number of medium and large units. On the other hand number is very large in the case of SSI units but amount involved is small. In Punjab the industry
makes maximum use of bank capital compared to other parts
of the country. Investment in non-productive assets is
very low in Punjab compared to industry in other parts.
Some types of machines remain idle for most of the time
in industrial units outside Punjab, but in the state the
machines remain in use for full time by floating jobbing
units. |
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