E D I T O R I A L P A G E |
Wednesday, December 23, 1998 |
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weather n
spotlight today's calendar |
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A
friend comes a-calling To
the rescue of science Our
fun schools Meeting
targets isnt enough Retirement
must be planned |
A Tribune Study Mystery
of the missing funds
Shivaji
Memorial Committee |
WRONG
PRIORITIES AT the first Press conference the only one he held Prime Minister Lal Bahadur Shastri was asked how he would tackle Indias economic problems. His reply was: one, he would bring down prices; two, he would have the various plans and projects spelled out in jobs, not in outlays. This was nearly 35 years ago when living was cheaper and when unemployment had not touched the figure of 80 million. The import of down-to-earth Shastris observation was that he would do what benefited people. They had precedence, not a predetermined growth rate. Today, targets are fixed first; people are accommodated later. Mainstream economics assumes that the common mans problems and his privations are secondary to the primary objective of having impressive statistics. An individual has to be sacrificed at the altar of targets. Jawaharlal Nehru warned against such an approach. He said: We talk of the good of society. Is this something apart from and transcending the good of the individuals composing it? If the individual is ignored and sacrificed for what is considered the good of society, is that the right objective to have? Woefully, his concept of an egalitarian state failed in his lifetime. The system was taken over by the nexus of bureaucrats and businessmen. Nobel laureate Amartya Sen has once again focused attention on the common man. He has said in an interview that Indias priorities are wrong: they should be people-related, not commodity-related. Raising economic growth is important, he concedes, but the ultimate objective should be to expand the ability of most sections of the population to earn their living. No one can find fault with his analysis. Indeed, the economic activity is a means to an end, not the end in itself. The end is the welfare of people. Of what use are the plans which do not improve their living conditions? Socialism, capitalism and other isms are good concepts. But they are for the welfare of people, not people are for them. True, Indias annual growth rate of 3.5 per cent before the nineties came to be sneeringly termed as the Hindu growth rate. But the entire thinking, however muddled, was how to improve the lot of the people. The public sector undertakings were given the highest priority because they were meant to benefit the nation, not individuals. That the projects got snarled into red-tapism or that the bureaucracy defeated every effort towards welfare is another story. Then came the phase to push the growth rate. Figures became important, not the people. It was the escalation of the graph that mattered. How it was achieved had little meaning. Controls, permits and licences were, no doubt, roadblocks and they had rewarded only a few. Still when they were dismantled ordinary people did not gain, the upper strata did. And the biggest beneficiary was a foreign investor. People were nowhere in the picture. The scene has not changed with the advent of the BJP-led coalition. The party has only made noises about an indigenous economic framework. The policy of Swadeshi has been flaunted to check liberalisation. But the effort is, at best, a feeble protest against economic reforms. The RSS, the partys mentor, is more forthright. It is not allowing the BJP to go overboard. The party has neither the courage nor an alternative blueprint that it can place before the nation. The BJP is back on the track, which the desperate Congress had hewed from the mountainous difficulty. No wonder, Finance Minister Yashwant Sinha announced a few days ago in the Rajya Sabha: We shall carry (forward) the reform process initiated by Dr Manmohan Singh. It is nobodys case that foreign capital should be kept away. Nor is anyone opposed to new technology, which the country badly needs. But the gates did not have to be thrown wide open. What was needed most should have been sought and permitted first. This was how China, which averages a growth rate of 10 per cent a year, went about. In our country, colas, hamburgers and breakfast foods came first. They still constitute the bulk of foreign activity. The target has not been the people but the elite, which fattened itself even during earlier regimes. Not only that, the self-sufficiency built over the years has been demolished, and what has been raised on its ruins is an edifice which is more foreign than Indian. Multinationals have grabbed a substantial share in industry. Many Indian companies have closed down and many are on the verge of doing so. We have neither the resources nor the government assistance to face the multinationals, says a top industrialist, who has sold his set-up to the Japanese. A few may survive but all others will be taken over by foreigners. His argument is that the Indian industrialists, not used to competition, should have been gradually exposed to it. Even the facilities advanced to foreign investors have not been made available to Indians, he complains. This may well be true. But once the indiscriminate process of economic reforms began, the writing on the wall was clear. The change had to be quick. That is the law of liberalisation. Bridges are broken so that a country does not go back. India is no exception. In fact, the charge is that the process has not been fast enough due to political and other pressures from within the country. The controversial insurance Bill, which offers one-fourth of equity to foreign companies, is meant to assure them that all doors will open if they remain patient. The purpose is to get foreign capital, the inflow of which has lessened. Yet for the sake of foreign capital, the nation cannot allow itself to be pushed aside. The fate of East Asian countries is before us. They were forced to adopt certain reforms in the economic field both the World Bank and the IMF gave them blueprints that left them with no space of their own. They overstretched the resources and they came tumbling down. All that the West could say in sympathy was that they did not turn out to be the tigers it had imagined them to be. There is no set formula for growth. Opening markets and privatising government ventures are the two known methods for curbing monopoly on the one hand and the bureaucracy on the other. But it is not necessary that they should work. Competition alone is no solution to Indias problems. In fact, as Nehru said, in a poorly developed country, capitalist methods offer no chance. The problem which New Delhi faces is that there are too many demands from too many sides. How to balance them? A consensus is not possible because the different pressures in a democratic structure are inevitable; they represent the urges of the electorate. Still political parties could reach some understanding; for example, not to have bandhs or strikes, which cost the nation dear. Ultimately, the policies
will have to be drafted in such a way that these benefit
more and more people. Probably additional allocations for
the agricultural sector, which sustains nearly 75 per
cent of the population, will have some impact. The
question is not how to accelerate the reforms but how to
cast them in such a way that these improve the living
conditions of society as a whole. Broad-based economic
growth is what the country needs, not the high-flaunting
words like globalisation. |
Retirement
must be planned LIKE any business or money-making idea which has its set goals and targets, every retired person must set ones own goals or targets, and try to achieve these in the years following ones own retirement. If such goals are fixed, it helps a person to forget ones retirement period and concentrate on doing something good for the community, the surrounding area and society. Dr William H. Reals, in a book he had dedicated to a small group of St. Louis business and professional men who decided to pool their talents to serve their community, said: One has more time after retirement to rock, more time to fish, more time to loaf and rust out, or more time to do the challenging things one has always wanted to do but could not because of the alarm clock and time schedule. The central idea is that in the years following retirement, every person must set a target and then attempt at achieving it. However, care should be taken to ensure that the post-retirement goals are not too taxing on the health of the person so that even after putting in time and energy for fulfilling his goals, the retired man has sufficient time at his disposal to pursue his hobbies and leisure. Scientists predict that by the year 2000 the life-span of the healthy human being would be around 100 years. A successful retirement goal has to be focused around a step further than merely a place to live in, something here and there to do about. Rather, the retirement goal should be to acquire real good health both in physical and emotional terms. Some of the people who count their remaining old days in just enjoying themselves in and around their children or grandchildren will have no sense of satisfaction in passing their retired life with pleasure. Rather, towards the fag-end of their life such persons would be feeling frustrated. Therefore, now is the time to fix a goal for your retirement years. Without defining the goal, one cannot expect happiness in old age. Happiness in retired life has to be bargained for, worked for and then achieved. The years ahead of retirement, if you have a retirement goal, can be good, rich and rewarding. However, one should first plan for such years so that they do not become empty or miserable. The sixty-fifth birth syndrome has become outmoded. Fifty per cent chances are that an average person would be living a quarter-century, beyond ones sixty-fifth birthday. Then, why not redecide and replan ones retirement. While you sit down to pursue your retirement goal you must not forget that enjoying the long leisure hours should be one of the important tasks of the post-retirement period. Therefore, it is time to think of investment in worthwhile leisure. Whenever we talk of retirement goals, just remember that the retirement years should be utilised for purposeful activities so that you can forge your own pattern of living. This would also enrich the life of others. If you really want to achieve this goal, then you will have to be a genius like Titian who painted world famous great pictures in his nineties so that people around him dismiss the relevance of age in becoming big and great. To work or not to work during the post-retirement period is also an important issue. In a book, entitled Retire to Action: A Guide to Voluntary Service, the author gives us a clue to the answer whether to work or not to work after retirement. But frankly speaking, to come to such a conclusion one must answer very frankly some of these common queries: Is it necessary for me to have work that brings in financial return? If so, how much? Can I get equal satisfaction by continuing to do something else that yields a lesser income or none at all? Do I want to continue to work for love of the work itself, or because it gives me a chance to prove Im still capable? Do I believe working for monetary compensation, as it has some inherent good in it? Do I still have the ability to manage people or affairs, make accurate judgements, create new ideas? Do I need to be paid a wage commensurate with my wisdom? Or will I be satisfied with doing a job without pay as that will right some wrongs? After answering these questions it is possible to come to a conclusion which will set the ball rolling in determining the retirement goal relating to work or not to work in old age. Finally, defining
ones goals of retirement sets the retirement age
rolling without tears. Well, those who just live their
retirement life without undefined or not-so-clear goals
and objectives tend to fear the pinch of wasteful
unplanned retirement. But by the time this becomes a
reality, it is too long a time unwisely wasted. William
James, a noted philosopher, said, The great use of
life is to spend it for something that will outlast
it. |
The wheel of
life THE business and traffic of life in a long journey has often been metaphorically linked to the artefact of the wheel. And there are so many ideas tied to this trope in our scriptures in poetry, in folklore, etc, as to make it a figure of speech for all seasons. The sense of lifes relentless march, of initiation and end, of circularity or roundedness, of infinity and eternity all these and many a similar thought then compel us to ponder the problem as it touches us in our day-to-day life. And in this wide swathe of concepts, there is enough room for the imagination of angst or metaphysical anguish to find its own consummation. Indeed, from the scriptural potterss wheel which connects man with his creator or shaper to the wheel of fortune whichs the stock metaphor for the daily ups and downs of life, we may go on to the Persian wheel in relation to history and the game or round of power politics the full buckets of water dipping down empty and returning full to the brim again and yet again and to the Shakespearian wheel of fire, where the human tragedy is absolute, inviolate, almost too sacred for words. So we go wheeling all over the whoops of joy and abandon (as in a giant amusement park wheel) from the utter ravishment of our senses in the fields of flesh or flowers to the wailing thats never too far away. The wheel of joy, the wheel of luck, the wheel of destiny, all, all abide. That is why perhaps the wheel has generally been considered the most valuable invention of man, for all human progress rests upon one kind of wheel or another. And the wheel as artefact, and as metaphor, so the same round, so to speak. And one can think of endless variations on the theme in the manner of a musical maestros cunning of the hand, and the wheels of sound in fabulous gyrations. The idea of gyration reminds me of W.B. Yeatss celebrated poem, The Second Coming, and the metaphor of the gyrating falcon in the blue skies above and of the controlling hand. But the subsuming metaphor goes to complete its own cycle when the breakaway bind of freedom the severance of life from its source, the alienation of man from his maker brings up a terrifying vision. Its a vision of violence when the falcon cannot hear the falconer and things fall apart. That, says the poet, is a signal of rank anarchy, of the blood-dimmed tide in which the ceremony of innocence is drowned. In the next epiphoric stanzas, Yeats goes on to paint the rise in our troubled times of the insensate hatred of man for man, of the forces of fascism and terror now on the upswing. Which cycle of argument brings us to the idea of anarchy, corruption and skullduggery in our politics today. Ministries come and go, political parties rise and fall, charismatic leaders touch the heights and the depths, but the ground reality remains virtually unchanged. The wheel of power moves and moves, and the wheel of life puts us into one spin after another, and we stay on to ponder the eternal problem. We come crying hither and we go crying. We come empty-handed and we go empty-handed, and the Alexanders of the world and then kind too all, all move within the Great Wheel. Has the argument
come full circle? Yes and no! For each
discourse in reality is open-ended, and we may go on to
construct new wheels within wheels. At the end of it, the
thoughts of homecoming and the Wheel of
Karma, and nirvana! |
Mystery of
the missing funds Punjab is economically a prosperous state, but financially weak. This was a cryptic comment which economist Raja Chelliah made some six years back. This is even more true today. How come? Here are some harsh facts of a mournful tale. Punjab is still among the leaders in the country, occupying the third place in per capita income. It leads in per acre yield of wheat and rice and in poultry and milk production. The people are hard working and enterprising and leave their mark on whatever they touch. Again, the Punjabis are well taxed. But how come the state has no money for development and has to borrow for paying salaries and pensions. Where does the money go? A close look at the state of finance reveals: The balance from revenue is negative and this year it is likely to swell to a whopping Rs 1,500 crore. It started with a carry forward of minus Rs 20 crore in 1985. Revenue expenditure is steadily rising and capital expenditure declining. The present position is the worst. Revenue receipts at 7 per cent are stagnant. This year between January and November, the government resorted to overdraft, or borrowed to live, for 127 days. The current Plan size is Rs 2,500 crore. Assured resources account for Rs 1,000 crore and the shortfall is as high as Rs 1,500 crore. The government is paying heavy interest on huge bank advances. It is a classic case of hand-to-mouth living and the government is taking a beating this year. To unravel this happening: There is a steep rise in non-Plan expenditure while revenue receipts are dwindling. The current year would end with a non-Plan bill of Rs 5,600 crore compared to the proposed Plan expenditure of just Rs 2,500 crore. For any developing state this is alarming. Salaries and pensions take away 62 per cent. In 1984-85, this expenditure was Rs 441 crore and now it is a staggering Rs 5,892 crore. Every government has compounded this problem. There is a proliferation of government employees and neglect of development. Parkinsons law more the people, less the output is in operation in Punjab. The salary and pension bills claim a neat Rs 3,654 crore or 62 per cent of the total revenue of Punjab. Against this there is a poor growth in tax revenue. There is going to be a shortfall in sales tax collection (Rs 15 crore) state excise (Rs 120 crore) and other taxes (Rs 80 crore). This compares poorly with Haryana where sales tax revenue has increased from Rs 1,394 crore to Rs 1,560 crore. Himachal Pradesh, Utter Pradesh and Delhi are also doing well. In Punjab the Ministers and ruling alliance MLAs sabotage efforts by various departments to step up tax collection. But then each MLA has been given a Sumo car with 600 litres of diesel, besides sumptuous travelling allowances. The former Chief Ministers enjoy the luxury of a car, a bungalow and staff. No other state provides this. Now Punjab MPs are demanding the same. Revenue grew at the healthy rate of 12.4 per cent between 1985-90, peaked at 14.8 per cent in the next five years of Congress rule but plummeted to 5 per cent during 1995-1998. Fiscal indiscipline is in a truly feudal style. The governments the Congress and now the Akali-BJP coalition added to this. Budget deficit was a mere Rs 20 crore in 1985, rose to Rs 1100 crore during Congress rule and is now projected at Rs 1,500 crore. As on March 31,1998, the government had a crushing debt of Rs 24,022 crore. It is 45 per cent of the GDP. During 1997-98, debt servicing was to the tune of Rs 3887 crore and fresh borrowings Rs 7,134 crore. Debt serving comes to 54.50 per cent, and there is a nascent debt trap. Basically Punjab is being crushed under the weight of over-spending and a heavy bureaucracy from the top to the bottom. Despite peace, the expenditure on law and order has increased and in a staggering way. This years budget estimates had placed this at Rs 546 crore, but in reality it has touched an unbelievable Rs 850 crore. It was a paltry Rs 55 crore eight years back. See the growth of staff strength. Between 1985 and 1997, the state added 81,800 employees. The number is now 3,73,468. The number of IAS and IPS officers also rose from 112 to 258. Many of these have no work and play golf. As for holidays, for every day and a half of work, there is one holiday. Same in Haryana. Similarly, there has been an increase in explicit and implicit subsidies. Subsidies total up Rs 2,927 crore: social services Rs 1,151 crore and economic services Rs 1,776 crore. Chief Minister Parkash Singh Badal alone has added a total of Rs 500 crore to subsidies in the form of free power, shagun and other benefits without caring for the long term impact. Now he finds no way to get out of the mess. It is a paradoxical situation. The rulers say that they have no funds for development. The people retort that they pay enough taxes and their expectations are reasonable. Pre-election promises and party manifestos have come to haunt the leaders. What are the conclusions to be drawn from all this? One, the present financial mess is the result of long-lasting populism and Mr Badal is not the pioneer. At one level, farmers and some other sections are being appeased and at another level they are being fleeced. They curse the government for not looking after them. Both paddy and cotton growers suffered heavily and their plight is unbearable. Mr Badal has provided free water and power to farmers. He says what else he could do. This has deprived the state of fresh loans from the World Bank and other international agencies to develop infrastructure. Clearly, the Akalis, like their predecessors, do not understand the harsh dynamics of market forces, or are merely trying to tinker them in favour of farmers. Or, are they just helpless? Right now the country is being pushed to the corner by the World Trade Organisation which is helping the agricultural surplus countries to dump their produce on India. Once that sets in, the plight of farmers would worsen. The farm sector needs more than token appeasement. Populist measures like free power block a sensible approach to the reform of the power sector. Mr Badal keeps asking anyone who cares to listen, as to how to get rid of free power. But he is scared of the political fallout. Second and more important, Punjab shares the messy situation in which it has landed with most other states. Take Himachal Pradesh or even Haryana. Himachal has a budget deficit of Rs 1,400 crore. The non-Plan expenditure Rs 2,600 crore is more than three times that of Plan expenditure. In fact, the state has the dubious distinction of spending its entire revenue receipts on salaries and pensions. Himachal has schools where teachers outnumber the students. The BJP government is busy trying to outwit the Congress in the matter of spending spree. Helicopters costing Rs 6 crore have been purchased for the ministers. Chief Minister Prem Kumar Dhumal has been seeking Rs 1,000 crore as a special package but has got Rs 200 crore. Another Rs 100 crore may come to bail out the state. It is resorting to deficit financing and utilising ways and means grants to meet the daily expenses. Market borrowing is another wayout. Since the ninth Finance Commission stopped the special assistance package, the states budgetary position has become precarious. Haryana is in a somewhat better position. Despite efforts to mop up resources, the picture is not that rosy. Last year it suffered a loss of Rs 660 crore thanks to prohibition. This year it may rake in around Rs 800 crore from excise alone. But for this the state would have been badly off. Implementation of the Fifth Pay Commission has enlarged the salary bill to 54 per cent of the total revenue of the state estimated at Rs 5,200 crore. The Plan size of Rs 2260 crore is under threat from two sources. The World Bank aid for the road sector did not materialise and it is going to be less for the irrigation sector. This amounts to Rs 350 crore. In addition, recession is hurting the collection of sales and other taxes. Heavy and untimely rain as in Punjab has affected tax collection and added the burden of relief. The Centre, despite assurances, has practically done nothing for the two states. On the plus side is Chief Minister, Bansi Lals assertion that development projects are going apace. The World Bank has helped reforms in the power sector and a power regulatory authority has been established and the Electricity Board has been abolished. In these reforms Haryana has become a model state. The funds needed for roads and other projects is much less than the requirement. Haryana inherited a deficit of Rs 271 crore in May 1996. It has gone up due to prohibition. But the state mopped additional resources of Rs 354 crore and made good some of the loss. It also set a record in the growth of sales tax revenue by 31 per cent in 96-97 and 12 per cent next year. This year it is becoming difficult. One reason is that all elastic resources like income tax, excise duty and customs, etc. are with the Centre and all inelastic sources with the states. The states bear the major burden of development. The Akalis like the Communists and some other parties have been demanding that the states should be given more autonomy in fiscal matters as in political matters. How much can the states raise money from sales tax and liquor excise? Haryanas experiment with prohibition is the latest sad reminder. The Centre did not help at all. Haryana has resisted populism and has refused to give free power to farmers. But the government has to pay a heavy political price. Where does this kind of politics stand today? Those who indulge in populism surely land in messy situations. Populism and appeasement have limits. One day the rulers shall have to address themselves to the hard fact that nothing could be given free except social welfare needs. Those who can pay shall have to pay. The government has to devise ways to effectively intervene and check the callousness of market operations. Also, there has to be intervention at the level of policy-makers to check the present agrarian crisis and to encourage industrialisation. Take one concrete instance. These states are overstaffed, heavy from top to bottom. Can the leaders stop fresh recruitment? Many financial experts
feel that the time to make issues and choices clear
before the people has come. But not many rulers are
ready. This would mean moving from one mess to another. |
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