Against all odds
THE Haryana Assembly election results have defied predictions, handing a third consecutive term to the BJP. Though the exit polls had predicted a Congress victory, it appears the BJP’s strategic campaign proved decisive as, against all odds, it bettered even its 2019 elelction tally. Prime Minister Narendra Modi and the BJP’s Haryana leadership executed a focused and adaptive campaign, effectively negating the Congress’ initial advantage. Early trends suggested a Congress wave, but the BJP quickly gained ground, consolidating its support base, especially among non-Jat communities. Nayab Singh Saini, who replaced Manohar Lal Khattar as Chief Minister earlier this year, appeared to gain in popularity among voters across castes and communities, helping the BJP overcome anti-incumbency. Additionally, the BJP benefited from strong backing by the RSS, which mobilised its cadre across the state.
In contrast, the Congress’ campaign fell short of expectations. Rahul Gandhi and his leadership team seem to have overestimated their position. Its reliance on a single leader —Bhupinder Singh Hooda — and internal conflicts seemed to weaken the Congress’ appeal to a broader voter base. Muddying the situation, the delay in updating poll results fuelled frustration within the Congress, with leaders raising questions over the transparency of the process. Meanwhile, the other players were reduced to ignominy — the AAP struggled to make an impact, failing to win any seat, highlighting its limited traction outside Delhi; the JJP, once seen as a formidable regional force, saw its influence wane, winning no seat. The INLD and Independents secured a few seats, reflecting minor but scattered support for the sundry.
The BJP’s victory highlights the broader trend of national parties adapting their strategies to local political climates. With its hat-trick win, the BJP has strengthened its standing; the Congress must reassess its regional strategy if it aspires to be victorious — or even just competitive — in the upcoming state elections.
