Monday,
December 2, 2002
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Feature |
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WiLL it, won’t it?
Prateek Bhatia
AS
wireless technology becomes more affordable, new applications are being
discovered daily that were not economically feasible in the past. One of
these is Wireless in Local Loop (WiLL) which represents one of the most
exciting growth opportunities in the communications business.
The term Wireless in Local
Loop refers to the distribution of telephone service from the nearest
telephone central office to the individual customers or subscribers by
using radio signals as a substitute for copper for all or part of the
connection.
Industry analysts predict
that the global WiLL market will reach millions of subscribers by the
end of 2000. Much of this growth will occur in emerging economies where
there is a lack of plain old telephone service (POTS). Developing
nations like China, India, Brazil, Russia, and Indonesia look to WiLL
technology as an efficient way to deploy POTS for millions of
subscribers—without the expense of burying tonnes of copper wire.
The huge potential for
WiLL applications is in developing countries where wireline
infrastructure is either non-existent or inadequate to meet growing
demands for telephone service. Most developing countries typically have
only one or two phone lines per 100 persons, compared with over 60 lines
per 100 persons in developed countries. Many developing countries,
particularly China, India, and the Philippines, are experiencing strong
economic growth which, in turn, creates a strong demand for
communications services.
To expand telephone
services, there are basically only two alternatives - install a
traditional wireline infrastructure or adopt a WiLL solution. Since the
installation of wireline is extremely labour-intensive, the cost tends
to increase over time with increasing wages and standards of living. By
contrast, the cost of wireless technology has been steadily declining in
recent years, a trend which tips the balance in favour of WiLL
solutions. Other WiLL advantages include rapid deployment and lower
maintenance costs.
Since the advent of the
telephone system, copper wire has traditionally provided the link in the
local loop between the telephone subscriber and the local exchange. But
copper’s heyday in the local loop is coming to an end. Economic
imperatives and emerging technologies are opening the door for WiLL
solutions.
WiLL technology has
several economic characteristics that make it attractive to deploy for
20 to 50 per cent of a typical telephone network. One important economic
consideration is that a WiLL network can be deployed very quickly:
Activating a system within 90 to 120 days is feasible. Although this
economic benefit is difficult to measure in purely economic terms, it is
a key advantage in a market where multiple service providers are
competing for the same user base.
Because the expense of
provisioning service via WiLL, is not affected by the distance between
the subscriber and the central office (CO), WiLL is more cost-effective
than wireline operator service provider (OSP) for at least 20 per cent
of the service lines deployed in a network.
WiLL has a much lower
incremental investment cost than copper, and it is much cheaper to
deploy at lower subscriber densities.
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