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Monsoon on course, to hit Kerala by tomorrow
New Delhi, June 4 The IMD today predicted that the long-awaited seasonal rains would hit the Kerala coast anytime in the next 48 hours. It also said that the plains of the Northwest -- including Punjab, Haryana, Chandigarh and Delhi, as well as central India -- could expect dust storms, rains and thunderstorms followed by a fall in maximum temperature by 2-3°C and relief from heat wave conditions in the next two days. The IMD had predicted June 1 as the due date of monsoon arrival over Kerala with an error margin of four days. That seasonal rains will soon be hitting the Southern coast, though later than the ascribed date, has come as a major relief. Considering that the northern limit of monsoon was not progressing beyond a point for the past few days, there were serious concerns for the farm-dependent economy -- the world’s second-biggest producer of rice, wheat, sugar and cotton and also one of the largest consumers with a population of 1.21 billion. Attributing the delay to a cyclonic pressure over the Arabian Sea, IMD director general LS Rathore is sticking to his April forecast of average rains in 2012 for the third year in a row. Talking to The Tribune, he said the emergence of El Nino conditions -- warming of the Central Pacific -- around August-September was a concern, but it was just one of the factors affecting the monsoon progress and spread. “We are retaining our April forecast of a normal monsoon this year. However, we will review the forecast around June 20-22 after the monsoon starts progressing over mainland India. We will come to know the exact parameters by June 15, ” Rathore said.
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