Log in ....Tribune

Monday, May 19,  2003
Feature

Cellphones poised to pip landline by 2006
S.C. Dhall

TELECOMMUNICATION has revolutionised the world and the way we live. We can now connect with persons, exchange information, store data from anywhere, anytime. The convenience telecommunication brings in is unprecedented. There has been a sea change in the way we communicate. Telephones, mobile phones, pagers, Internet, fax EPABX and many other related options are now available.

Unfortunately, those countries and communities that need the most boost are the ones that are able to take the least advantage of it. Low levels of literacy and education have contributed to an access gap within the digital divide.

The mission of May 17 — World Telecommunication Day — is to plug the digital divide between countries, rural and urban areas, rich and poor, literate and illiterate populations, men and women. World Telecommunication Day serves as an excellent platform to launch public campaigns and activities for equal access to communication and technology.

The day holds special significance for Indians. The telecom fraternity of the country claims proudly that the sector has grown leaps and bounds post-liberalisation. Assessing the telecom sector — experts feel the telecom market in India is on the verge of an explosion. In the next few years, we would witness an additional 7 to 10 million customers (mobile landline) annually.

A major push in the revenue is expected to come from cellular services. The cellular sector is expected to cross the landline base by 2006-07 as is witnessed in many countries across the world and in Asia.

The cellular industry itself needs an investment of nearly $ 50 billion. The domestic market cannot meet more than 10 to 15 per cent of this burgeoning requirement and the balance has to come from foreign direct investment.

India’s fixed telecom services market is projected to touch $ 14 billion in 2006, with a compounded annual growth rate of 14 per cent, from 2001 to 2006. China’s telecom market will hit $ 27 billion during the same period.